Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted

192K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.5%Range (90% confident): 49.3% – 49.7%Based on 192K games
0%49.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.3% – 49.7%
Outcome Distribution
47.2%4.6%48.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Nxd4
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted
Analyzen=192K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a 49.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.3% and 49.7%), based on 192K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.5% win rate (15,694 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.6% win rate (32,848 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.6% win rate (39,883 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.4% win rate (35,267 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.2% win rate (25,876 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.5% win rate (18,459 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.1% win rate (12,551 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.4% win rate (8,589 games)
  • 2500+: 48.1% win rate (3,050 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (50%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.3% win rate (71 games)
  • Bullet: 49.1% win rate (50,096 games)
  • Blitz: 47.5% win rate (98,254 games)
  • Rapid: 44.3% win rate (41,873 games)
  • Classical: 43.2% win rate (1,923 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (3,924 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (7,601 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.6% expected score (4,122 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 40.6% expected score (41 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (6,852 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (17,885 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (7,960 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 36.3% expected score (141 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (8,295 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (20,775 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (10,399 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (409 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (7,426 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (17,805 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (9,314 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (706 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.5% expected score (19 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (7,201 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (12,905 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (5,367 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (384 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (5,884 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (9,616 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (2,787 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.6% expected score (168 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (4,658 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (6,622 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (1,217 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (47 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (3,787 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.5% expected score (4,147 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (637 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (14 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (2,069 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.9% expected score (898 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (70 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 56.9% expected score (13 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted win rate?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a 47.2% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 192K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted perform best?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.4% win rate for white (8.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (50.3%) by -1.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.9%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 9.5% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.6%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 19.9% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.4%) win rate for white (50K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.8%) win rate for white (98K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.9%-44.7%) win rate for white (42K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted has a 43.2% (90% CI: 41.3%-45.0%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted a good opening?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted is statistically balanced with a 47.2% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.