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Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation

683K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.4%Range (90% confident): 56.3% – 56.5%Based on 683K games
0%56.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.3% – 56.5%
Outcome Distribution
54.0%4.7%41.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Bxc6
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation
Analyzen=683K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 56.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.3% and 56.5%), based on 683K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.4% · UltraBullet best · Blitz worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 52% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.2% win rate (104,185 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.0% win rate (163,389 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.0% win rate (168,266 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.5% win rate (121,521 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.6% win rate (66,634 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.6% win rate (33,641 games)
  • 2000-2199: 55.1% win rate (16,551 games)
  • 2200-2499: 55.5% win rate (7,464 games)
  • 2500+: 56.3% win rate (1,501 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (62%), worst in Blitz (54%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 62.2% win rate (218 games)
  • Bullet: 54.3% win rate (150,098 games)
  • Blitz: 53.8% win rate (329,754 games)
  • Rapid: 54.0% win rate (194,968 games)
  • Classical: 54.9% win rate (8,114 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.6% expected score (43 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (22,405 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (48,301 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (33,155 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 49.3% expected score (281 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.8% expected score (50 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (31,639 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (84,138 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (46,623 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (939 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 60.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (31,692 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (82,729 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (51,726 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 56.6% expected score (2,083 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 65.9% expected score (49 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (24,664 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (57,131 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (36,653 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.1% expected score (3,024 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.6% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (16,294 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (31,207 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (17,763 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.3% expected score (1,350 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 79.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (10,696 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (15,961 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.1% expected score (6,609 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (368 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (6,996 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (7,548 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (1,941 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.1% expected score (59 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 77.3% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (4,428 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.4% expected score (2,530 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 64.5% expected score (492 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.5% expected score (1,284 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (209 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Four Knights Game
47.3%
Variations (5)
Four Knights Game: Glek System
47.9%
Four Knights Game: Gunsberg Variation
49.7%
Four Knights Game: Halloween Gambit
52.7%
Four Knights Game: Halloween Gambit, Plasma Variation
54.1%
Four Knights Game: Italian Variation
48.7%
Analyze Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation win rate?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 683K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation perform best?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 55.6% win rate for white (34K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (62.2%) outperforms Blitz (53.8%) by 8.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 104K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 163K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 168K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 54.3%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 122K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 54.3%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 67K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 55.6% (90% CI: 55.1%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 55.1% (90% CI: 54.5%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 55.5% (90% CI: 54.6%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 54.2%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 62.2% (90% CI: 56.8%-67.5%) win rate for white (218 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 54.1%-54.5%) win rate for white (150K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.0%) win rate for white (330K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.1%) win rate for white (195K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation has a 54.9% (90% CI: 53.9%-55.8%) win rate for white (8.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation a good opening?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.