Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation

1.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score53.5%Range (90% confident): 51.5% – 55.4%Based on 1.8K games
0%53.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.5% – 55.4%
Outcome Distribution
50.0%7.0%43.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.Re1
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation
Analyzen=1.8K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.0%

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation has a 53.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.5% and 55.4%), based on 1.8K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 57% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 56.9% win rate (24 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.9% win rate (58 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.1% win rate (115 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.8% win rate (123 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.2% win rate (156 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.3% win rate (175 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.2% win rate (281 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.9% win rate (531 games)
  • 2500+: 52.6% win rate (292 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (63%), worst in Rapid (48%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 50.6% win rate (523 games)
  • Blitz: 49.7% win rate (1,033 games)
  • Rapid: 48.0% win rate (187 games)
  • Classical: 63.0% win rate (12 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 71.8% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (27 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 37.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (35 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 59.4% expected score (52 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 64.6% expected score (26 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 66.9% expected score (34 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (61 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (50 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (78 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (28 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 35.6% expected score (47 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (101 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (61 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (193 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (25 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (136 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (362 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (136 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (152 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation win rate?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation perform best?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 57.1% win rate for white (115 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.7%) outperforms Rapid (48.0%) by 1.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation has a sharpness score of 93.0 (decisive), meaning 93.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation has a 57.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-64.5%) win rate for white, based on 115 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation has a 55.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-63.1%) win rate for white, based on 123 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 42.7%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 156 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation has a 43.3% (90% CI: 37.3%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 175 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 46.3%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 281 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 43.3%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 531 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 9.1% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 47.8%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 292 Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 10.7% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 47.0%-54.2%) win rate for white (523 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 47.2%-52.3%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.6%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 42.1%-54.0%) win rate for white (187 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation a good opening?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.