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Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack

247 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack gives Black a 67.1% expected score — a strong choice.

Worst case (90% confidence) you keep a 24.3% advantage over the 50% baseline.

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Rating
Time
Black Expected Score67.1%Based on 247 gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
45%67.1%75%
Range (90% confident): 62.2% – 71.9%
Min adv+24.3%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=247
Outcome Distribution
7...e4
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack
Analyzen=247
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate8.2%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack has a 67.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 62.2% and 71.9%), based on 247 Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 66% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 65.5% win rate (13 games)
  • 1000-1199: 66.0% win rate (22 games)
  • 1200-1399: 76.7% win rate (20 games)
  • 1400-1599: 76.7% win rate (20 games)
  • 1600-1799: 60.0% win rate (16 games)
  • 1800-1999: 57.3% win rate (43 games)
  • 2000-2199: 60.0% win rate (31 games)
  • 2200-2499: 61.0% win rate (60 games)
  • 2500+: 40.4% win rate (22 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (79%), worst in Bullet (57%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 57.0% win rate (38 games)
  • Blitz: 61.5% win rate (144 games)
  • Rapid: 65.8% win rate (57 games)
  • Classical: 78.9% win rate (8 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 77.3% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 76.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 84.8% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 83.4% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 73.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 67.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 66.1% expected score (42 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.5% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack win rate?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack has a 28.8% (90% CI: 24.2%-33.6%) win rate for white, based on 247 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack perform best?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 25.2% win rate for white (60 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (29.9%) outperforms Rapid (23.1%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack has a sharpness score of 91.8 (decisive), meaning 91.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack has a 29.9% (90% CI: 23.8%-36.3%) win rate for white (144 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.6%.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack a good opening?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack is slightly favors black with a 28.8% (90% CI: 24.2%-33.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.