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Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted

2.6M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.6%Range (90% confident): 53.6% – 53.7%Based on 2.6M games
0%53.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.6% – 53.7%
Outcome Distribution
51.9%3.3%44.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...dxc3
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted
Analyzen=2.6M
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 53.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.6% and 53.7%), based on 2.6M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +9.2% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 50% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.5% win rate (12,222 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.1% win rate (49,769 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.8% win rate (154,860 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.7% win rate (365,526 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.9% win rate (636,647 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.0% win rate (750,200 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.1% win rate (466,353 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.4% win rate (177,757 games)
  • 2500+: 52.1% win rate (22,286 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.8% win rate (518 games)
  • Bullet: 52.1% win rate (745,942 games)
  • Blitz: 51.9% win rate (1,499,822 games)
  • Rapid: 51.9% win rate (374,854 games)
  • Classical: 51.6% win rate (14,484 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 74.5% expected score (21 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (6,031 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (5,057 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (1,108 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.8% expected score (37 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (21,412 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (23,339 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (4,929 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.0% expected score (52 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 56.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (50,667 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (84,935 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (18,858 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (368 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.8% expected score (118 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (96,392 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (214,044 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (52,938 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (2,034 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.4% expected score (101 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (139,640 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (385,312 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (106,590 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (5,004 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.4% expected score (104 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (161,968 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (461,032 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (121,930 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.2% expected score (5,166 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (141,616 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (263,680 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (59,284 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.3% expected score (1,725 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 51.8% expected score (53 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (107,804 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (60,749 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.5% expected score (9,027 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (124 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (20,412 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (1,674 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.8% expected score (190 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Continuations (10)
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense
48.7%
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Classical Formation
46.0%
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Danish Variation
51.3%
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense
53.1%
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Finegold Defense
52.3%
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Kan Formation
49.6%
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense
43.5%
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Morphy Defense
51.2%
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Morphy Defense Deferred
51.2%
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Paulsen Formation
49.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.6M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.4% win rate for white (178K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (52.8%) by -0.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 50K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 155K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.6%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 366K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 637K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 750K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 466K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 178K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 52.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-56.4%) win rate for white (518 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 52.1% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.2%) win rate for white (746K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-51.9%) win rate for white (1.5M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.0%) win rate for white (375K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.3%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted is statistically favors white with a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.