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Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense

20K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.4%Range (90% confident): 48.8% – 50.0%Based on 20K games
0%49.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.8% – 50.0%
Outcome Distribution
47.4%3.9%48.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...a6
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense
Analyzen=20K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense has a 49.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.8% and 50.0%), based on 20K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 55% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.2% win rate (32 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.2% win rate (179 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.7% win rate (696 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.5% win rate (1,893 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.7% win rate (3,767 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.1% win rate (5,418 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.9% win rate (4,701 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.1% win rate (2,498 games)
  • 2500+: 45.7% win rate (321 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (50%), worst in Blitz (47%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 48.9% win rate (6,037 games)
  • Blitz: 46.5% win rate (10,950 games)
  • Rapid: 47.3% win rate (2,429 games)
  • Classical: 50.3% win rate (89 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (103 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (68 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (290 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (336 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 37.3% expected score (69 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (570 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (1,072 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (249 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (924 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (2,184 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (623 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (1,275 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (3,277 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (828 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (1,208 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (2,980 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (502 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 74.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (1,352 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (999 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (146 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (290 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (30 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 20K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 53.0% win rate for white (696 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.1%) outperforms Classical (42.5%) by 6.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 40.7%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 179 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense has a 53.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 696 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.2%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.7%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense has a 46.5% (90% CI: 44.9%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 45.2%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 321 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.2%) win rate for white (6.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.9%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense has a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.6%-49.9%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Chicago Defense is statistically balanced with a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.