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Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation

45K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.1%Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 51.5%Based on 45K games
0%51.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 51.5%
Outcome Distribution
46.7%8.7%44.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...d6
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
Analyzen=45K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness91%
Draw Rate8.7%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a 51.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.7% and 51.5%), based on 45K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.2% · Bullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 45% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.2% win rate (119 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.5% win rate (380 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (845 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.9% win rate (1,553 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.1% win rate (3,105 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.8% win rate (7,616 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.2% win rate (13,471 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.9% win rate (14,553 games)
  • 2500+: 39.3% win rate (3,783 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (64%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 63.6% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 47.3% win rate (13,503 games)
  • Blitz: 46.7% win rate (27,855 games)
  • Rapid: 44.7% win rate (3,832 games)
  • Classical: 43.2% win rate (231 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (58 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (53 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (154 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (180 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (322 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (378 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (141 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 77.3% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (674 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (684 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (184 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (1,075 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (1,736 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (271 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (2,042 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (4,863 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (633 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.4% expected score (76 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (2,803 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (9,277 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (1,298 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (93 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (4,178 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (9,211 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (1,143 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (2,197 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (1,473 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (108 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 44.2%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 45K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 47.8% win rate for white (3.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (46.7%) outperforms Classical (38.5%) by 8.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a sharpness score of 91.3 (decisive), meaning 91.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 45.2%-60.1%) win rate for white, based on 119 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 45.7%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 380 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 43.8%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 845 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 44.9%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.3%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.6%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a 43.2% (90% CI: 42.5%-43.9%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a 43.6% (90% CI: 42.9%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 10.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.5%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 46 moves with a 13.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.0%-47.4%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a 43.8% (90% CI: 43.3%-44.2%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a 44.1% (90% CI: 42.8%-45.4%) win rate for white (3.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation has a 38.5% (90% CI: 33.3%-43.8%) win rate for white (231 Lichess games). Draw rate is 18.3%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation is statistically balanced with a 44.6% (90% CI: 44.2%-45.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.