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Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation

44K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score52.0%Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 52.4%Based on 44K games
0%52.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 52.4%
Outcome Distribution
47.7%8.6%43.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Ng4
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
Analyzen=44K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness91%
Draw Rate8.6%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation has a 52.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.6% and 52.4%), based on 44K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 43% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.8% win rate (10 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.4% win rate (84 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.3% win rate (314 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.6% win rate (1,778 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.0% win rate (6,814 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.7% win rate (15,032 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.5% win rate (16,661 games)
  • 2500+: 39.3% win rate (3,341 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Rapid (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 49.4% win rate (11,417 games)
  • Blitz: 47.2% win rate (29,433 games)
  • Rapid: 45.5% win rate (3,019 games)
  • Classical: 48.7% win rate (166 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (41 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (154 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 60.4% expected score (128 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 60.4% expected score (537 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (1,076 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (152 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.8% expected score (1,294 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (4,989 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (487 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (44 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (2,685 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (11,054 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (1,225 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.8% expected score (68 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (4,811 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (10,758 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (1,056 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (35 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (1,887 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (1,392 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.4% expected score (61 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation has a 43.7% (90% CI: 43.3%-44.1%) win rate for white, based on 44K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.5% win rate for white (3.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (44.0%) outperforms Classical (39.1%) by 4.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation has a sharpness score of 91.4 (decisive), meaning 91.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation has a 39.1% (90% CI: 34.7%-43.7%) win rate for white, based on 314 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation has a 41.0% (90% CI: 39.1%-42.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation has a 39.2% (90% CI: 38.2%-40.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation has a 42.6% (90% CI: 42.0%-43.3%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.9%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 9.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 10.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.2%-44.8%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation has a 43.7% (90% CI: 43.2%-44.2%) win rate for white (29K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation has a 43.2% (90% CI: 41.7%-44.7%) win rate for white (3.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation has a 39.1% (90% CI: 33.0%-45.4%) win rate for white (166 Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.2%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation is slightly favors black with a 43.7% (90% CI: 43.3%-44.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.