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Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense

283K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.3%Range (90% confident): 45.2% – 45.5%Based on 283K games
0%45.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.2% – 45.5%
Outcome Distribution
43.7%3.2%53.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...g6
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense
Analyzen=283K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 45.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.2% and 45.5%), based on 283K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.7% win rate (857 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.5% win rate (4,614 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.5% win rate (14,778 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.5% win rate (37,305 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.4% win rate (68,804 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.1% win rate (79,088 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.3% win rate (51,593 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.3% win rate (22,636 games)
  • 2500+: 40.9% win rate (3,057 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (45%), worst in UltraBullet (36%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 36.0% win rate (36 games)
  • Bullet: 44.2% win rate (96,258 games)
  • Blitz: 43.6% win rate (151,543 games)
  • Rapid: 43.0% win rate (33,699 games)
  • Classical: 44.8% win rate (1,196 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (495 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (309 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (53 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (2,553 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (1,757 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (303 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (6,535 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (6,891 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (1,328 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 36.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (12,787 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (20,225 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (4,161 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (123 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (19,130 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (40,171 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (9,151 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.4% expected score (344 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (20,388 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (46,829 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (11,392 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.6% expected score (476 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (17,745 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (27,506 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.5% expected score (6,126 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (213 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (13,882 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.0% expected score (7,560 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.9% expected score (1,170 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.5% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (2,743 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (295 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 25.8% expected score (15 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 53.1% (90% CI: 53.0%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 283K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.6% win rate for white (23K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.5%) outperforms Classical (49.6%) by 3.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 46.2% (90% CI: 43.4%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 857 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 69K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 79K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 52K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 54.6% (90% CI: 54.0%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 53.4% (90% CI: 51.9%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.7%) win rate for white (96K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.2%) win rate for white (152K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.4%) win rate for white (34K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-52.0%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Fianchetto Defense is statistically favors white with a 53.1% (90% CI: 53.0%-53.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.