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Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense

3.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score54.8%Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 56.1%Based on 3.9K games
0%54.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 56.1%
Outcome Distribution
53.1%3.4%43.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...Bd6
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense
Analyzen=3.9K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 54.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 53.5% and 56.1%), based on 3.9K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~54%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.8% win rate (5 games)
  • 1000-1199: 58.6% win rate (13 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.2% win rate (85 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.0% win rate (205 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.9% win rate (686 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.8% win rate (1,193 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.3% win rate (1,040 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.5% win rate (621 games)
  • 2500+: 52.4% win rate (70 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (57%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 56.6% win rate (1,304 games)
  • Blitz: 51.6% win rate (2,230 games)
  • Rapid: 49.5% win rate (369 games)
  • Classical: 48.4% win rate (14 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (65 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 60.3% expected score (18 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (78 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (112 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 63.8% expected score (122 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (495 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (63 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (286 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (727 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (173 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (423 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (518 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (98 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (261 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (342 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.6% expected score (16 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.2%-44.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 45.0% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (47.6%) outperforms Bullet (41.1%) by 6.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 43.8% (90% CI: 38.2%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 205 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 45.5% (90% CI: 42.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 686 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 45.0% (90% CI: 42.6%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 42.0% (90% CI: 39.5%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 41.2% (90% CI: 38.0%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 621 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 41.1% (90% CI: 38.9%-43.3%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 44.2% (90% CI: 42.5%-45.9%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense has a 47.6% (90% CI: 43.4%-51.9%) win rate for white (369 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Larsen Defense is slightly favors black with a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.2%-44.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.