TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation

527K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.7%Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 46.8%Based on 527K games
0%46.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 46.8%
Outcome Distribution
44.7%4.0%51.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...a6
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation
Analyzen=527K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 46.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 46.8%), based on 527K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 41% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.3% win rate (2,168 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.7% win rate (7,289 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.6% win rate (23,279 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.0% win rate (56,116 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.1% win rate (112,947 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.3% win rate (155,249 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.0% win rate (110,345 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.4% win rate (51,035 games)
  • 2500+: 50.4% win rate (8,627 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (48%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.3% win rate (242 games)
  • Bullet: 44.5% win rate (159,634 games)
  • Blitz: 45.0% win rate (297,636 games)
  • Rapid: 44.2% win rate (66,407 games)
  • Classical: 41.2% win rate (3,136 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (1,328 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.1% expected score (633 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (198 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 79.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.1% expected score (3,633 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (2,873 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (760 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 32.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (9,569 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (11,083 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.6% expected score (2,529 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 37.7% expected score (80 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (56 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (19,218 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (29,653 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (6,802 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.6% expected score (387 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 43.0% expected score (91 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (28,484 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (67,238 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (16,060 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (1,074 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 63.1% expected score (48 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (36,073 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (95,985 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (22,050 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.8% expected score (1,093 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (31,858 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (63,455 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (14,583 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.2% expected score (438 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (23,438 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (24,205 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (3,345 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 51.2% expected score (41 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (6,033 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (2,511 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.1% expected score (80 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Continuations (10)
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Gipslis Variation
47.4%
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Knight Variation
45.1%
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation
45.2%
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Hedgehog Variation
51.8%
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Réti Variation
47.8%
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Modern Variation
46.8%
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Polugaevsky Variation
47.8%
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation
46.4%
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack
44.5%
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation
48.8%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 44.6%-44.8%) win rate for white, based on 527K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.4% win rate for white (8.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (45.0%) outperforms Classical (41.2%) by 3.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 41.3% (90% CI: 39.6%-43.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 42.7% (90% CI: 41.7%-43.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 43.6% (90% CI: 43.1%-44.2%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.7%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 56K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.8%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 113K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 44.3% (90% CI: 44.1%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 155K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 44.8%-45.3%) win rate for white, based on 110K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 43.0%-53.5%) win rate for white (242 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 44.5% (90% CI: 44.3%-44.7%) win rate for white (160K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 44.8%-45.1%) win rate for white (298K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 44.2% (90% CI: 43.9%-44.5%) win rate for white (66K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation has a 41.2% (90% CI: 39.7%-42.6%) win rate for white (3.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation is slightly favors black with a 44.7% (90% CI: 44.6%-44.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.