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Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack

417K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score53.6%Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 53.8%Based on 417K games
0%53.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 53.8%
Outcome Distribution
51.6%3.9%44.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...b5
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack
Analyzen=417K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a 53.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 53.5% and 53.8%), based on 417K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 59.7% win rate (864 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.2% win rate (3,754 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.2% win rate (14,844 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.0% win rate (39,388 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.5% win rate (85,149 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.7% win rate (119,516 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.4% win rate (88,831 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.9% win rate (52,036 games)
  • 2500+: 44.5% win rate (12,311 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (53%), worst in UltraBullet (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.7% win rate (63 games)
  • Bullet: 53.3% win rate (161,064 games)
  • Blitz: 50.9% win rate (211,043 games)
  • Rapid: 49.4% win rate (43,047 games)
  • Classical: 46.1% win rate (1,476 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (562 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (223 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.3% expected score (77 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.8% expected score (2,449 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (960 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (333 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 66.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (7,254 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (6,554 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (1,000 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 56.7% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (15,118 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (20,815 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (3,298 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (136 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 15.2% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (27,476 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (47,184 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (10,008 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (471 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (37,448 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (65,977 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (15,504 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.2% expected score (578 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (32,399 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (46,287 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (9,968 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (172 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (29,049 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (20,240 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (2,695 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 37.6% expected score (51 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (9,309 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (2,803 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 44.6% expected score (164 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 40.5% expected score (35 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Continuations (2)
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Fianchetto Variation
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack, Spraggett Attack
47.4%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a 44.5% (90% CI: 44.3%-44.6%) win rate for white, based on 417K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 46.2% win rate for white (12K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (45.4%) outperforms UltraBullet (51.9%) by -6.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a 38.8% (90% CI: 36.1%-41.5%) win rate for white, based on 864 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a 43.1% (90% CI: 41.8%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a 43.4% (90% CI: 42.7%-44.1%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.9%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 39K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a 44.2% (90% CI: 43.9%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 85K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a 44.5% (90% CI: 44.3%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 120K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a 44.3% (90% CI: 44.1%-44.6%) win rate for white, based on 89K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a 45.3% (90% CI: 45.0%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 52K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 9.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a 43.8% (90% CI: 43.6%-44.0%) win rate for white (161K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.6%-45.0%) win rate for white (211K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a 45.4% (90% CI: 45.0%-45.7%) win rate for white (43K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack has a 45.7% (90% CI: 43.6%-47.9%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.2%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Wing Attack is slightly favors black with a 44.5% (90% CI: 44.3%-44.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.