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Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation

14K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.8%Range (90% confident): 51.1% – 52.5%Based on 14K games
0%51.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.1% – 52.5%
Outcome Distribution
48.7%6.1%45.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.Bc2
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation
Analyzen=14K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.1%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation has a 51.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.1% and 52.5%), based on 14K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 14% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 23.1% win rate (5 games)
  • 1200-1399: 40.4% win rate (22 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.4% win rate (91 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.6% win rate (469 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.5% win rate (2,292 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.6% win rate (5,892 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.8% win rate (4,818 games)
  • 2500+: 46.9% win rate (592 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in Classical (39%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 49.2% win rate (3,218 games)
  • Blitz: 48.8% win rate (9,648 games)
  • Rapid: 46.5% win rate (1,279 games)
  • Classical: 39.2% win rate (38 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199———
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 37.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (37 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (47 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (175 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (260 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (576 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (1,488 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (216 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (936 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (4,431 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (507 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 39.8% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (1,122 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (3,192 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (499 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 19.3% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (361 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (212 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.3% expected score (19 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.5%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 14K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 45.6% win rate for white (4.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (46.7%) outperforms Rapid (45.2%) by 1.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation has a sharpness score of 93.9 (decisive), meaning 93.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 42.5%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 469 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 43.9%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation has a 44.8% (90% CI: 43.7%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.4%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation has a 43.9% (90% CI: 40.6%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 592 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 9.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.2%-48.1%) win rate for white (3.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 43.9%-45.5%) win rate for white (9.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 42.9%-47.5%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.3%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Maróczy Bind, Bronstein Variation is slightly favors black with a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.5%-45.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.