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Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation

4.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.6%Range (90% confident): 49.4% – 51.9%Based on 4.3K games
0%50.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.4% – 51.9%
Outcome Distribution
47.6%6.0%46.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...g6
Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation
Analyzen=4.3K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.0%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation has a 50.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.4% and 51.9%), based on 4.3K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 14% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.8% win rate (29 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.9% win rate (107 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.5% win rate (290 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.0% win rate (607 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.2% win rate (781 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.2% win rate (772 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.1% win rate (1,232 games)
  • 2500+: 42.1% win rate (508 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in Classical (42%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 49.8% win rate (1,116 games)
  • Blitz: 47.4% win rate (2,725 games)
  • Rapid: 43.3% win rate (459 games)
  • Classical: 42.4% win rate (28 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 61.0% expected score (35 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (57 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (79 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (162 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (45 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (129 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (348 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (124 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (152 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (474 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.6% expected score (145 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (248 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (438 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (80 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (314 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (873 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (44 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (145 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (357 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.1%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.3% win rate for white (508 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (49.4%) outperforms Bullet (46.2%) by 3.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation has a sharpness score of 94.0 (decisive), meaning 94.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 36.9%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 107 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 42.0%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 290 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation has a 43.8% (90% CI: 40.5%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 607 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 44.3%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 781 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 45.1%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 772 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation has a 43.8% (90% CI: 41.5%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 47.7%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 508 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 43.8%-48.7%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 44.3%-47.4%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 45.6%-53.2%) win rate for white (459 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Kan Variation, Swiss Cheese Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.1%-47.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.