286K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.4% and 52.8%), based on 286K Lichess games.
Stable across ratings (~50%)
Best in Bullet (51%), worst in UltraBullet (45%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 286K rated games from Lichess.
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 55.6% win rate for white (5.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (50.9%) outperforms Classical (50.1%) by 0.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 49.6% (90% CI: 44.7%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 288 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 54.7% (90% CI: 52.5%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 55.6% (90% CI: 54.5%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.4%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 72K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 79K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.2%) win rate for white (92K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.
In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.3%) win rate for white (163K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.
In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.1%) win rate for white (30K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.
In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.1%-52.0%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack is statistically favors white with a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.