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Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line

67K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.0%Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 51.3%Based on 67K games
0%51.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 51.3%
Outcome Distribution
48.4%5.0%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
10...Rc8
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line
Analyzen=67K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.0%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a 51.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.6% and 51.3%), based on 67K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 57% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 57.2% win rate (113 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.0% win rate (328 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.0% win rate (471 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.4% win rate (1,205 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.2% win rate (3,757 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.5% win rate (12,574 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.5% win rate (23,032 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.2% win rate (21,283 games)
  • 2500+: 43.4% win rate (3,870 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (49%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 48.5% win rate (18,735 games)
  • Blitz: 48.6% win rate (39,485 games)
  • Rapid: 47.9% win rate (7,926 games)
  • Classical: 44.0% win rate (486 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 62.3% expected score (76 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (106 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 62.5% expected score (183 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (95 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (180 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (187 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (394 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (522 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (267 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (22 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,126 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (2,100 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (451 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (79 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (2,506 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (8,395 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (1,488 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (185 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (4,663 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (15,394 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (2,840 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (135 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (7,369 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (11,545 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (2,322 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 39.7% expected score (47 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2,538 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (1,167 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (159 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.2%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 67K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 50.0% win rate for white (3.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.3%) outperforms Classical (47.1%) by 0.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a 34.5% (90% CI: 27.4%-41.9%) win rate for white, based on 113 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a 41.1% (90% CI: 36.7%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 328 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a 42.2% (90% CI: 38.5%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 471 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a 49.2% (90% CI: 46.8%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.8%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a 44.7% (90% CI: 43.4%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 11.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.9%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a 46.4% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.9%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.3%-46.1%) win rate for white (7.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line has a 47.1% (90% CI: 43.4%-50.8%) win rate for white (486 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.9%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line is statistically balanced with a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.2%-46.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.