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Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line

142K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.4%Range (90% confident): 45.1% – 45.6%Based on 142K games
0%45.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.1% – 45.6%
Outcome Distribution
43.3%4.2%52.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Nc6
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line
Analyzen=142K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a 45.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.1% and 45.6%), based on 142K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.2% win rate (111 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.1% win rate (577 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.9% win rate (2,781 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.8% win rate (10,052 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.7% win rate (26,568 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.5% win rate (44,967 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.6% win rate (35,616 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.0% win rate (17,756 games)
  • 2500+: 44.0% win rate (3,506 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (45%), worst in Classical (38%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (9 games)
  • Bullet: 44.6% win rate (46,495 games)
  • Blitz: 42.9% win rate (80,187 games)
  • Rapid: 41.4% win rate (14,620 games)
  • Classical: 38.0% win rate (623 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (67 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 40.8% expected score (31 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (346 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (184 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.4% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (1,575 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (1,019 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 39.0% expected score (181 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (4,364 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.0% expected score (4,910 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (743 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 37.7% expected score (35 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (7,939 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (16,096 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (2,408 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 34.9% expected score (124 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (10,478 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (28,820 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (5,371 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (295 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (10,585 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (20,383 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (4,511 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (135 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (8,294 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (8,122 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (1,311 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.4% expected score (29 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (2,847 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (622 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.4%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 142K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 54.6% win rate for white (10K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (53.3%) outperforms Classical (54.2%) by -0.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a 48.4% (90% CI: 40.7%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 111 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a 55.6% (90% CI: 52.2%-59.0%) win rate for white, based on 577 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a 54.8% (90% CI: 53.2%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a 54.6% (90% CI: 53.8%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.5%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.7%) win rate for white (46K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.9%) win rate for white (80K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.6%-54.0%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line has a 54.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-57.5%) win rate for white (623 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line is statistically favors white with a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.4%-52.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.