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Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation

9.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score52.6%Range (90% confident): 51.8% – 53.5%Based on 9.4K games
0%52.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.8% – 53.5%
Outcome Distribution
50.4%4.5%45.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
9...Nd7
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation
Analyzen=9.4K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 52.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 53.5%), based on 9.4K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 71% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.3% win rate (19 games)
  • 1200-1399: 39.6% win rate (83 games)
  • 1400-1599: 41.9% win rate (298 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.8% win rate (693 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.7% win rate (1,619 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.8% win rate (3,020 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.4% win rate (3,182 games)
  • 2500+: 46.2% win rate (439 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in Rapid (42%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 52.3% win rate (2,937 games)
  • Blitz: 50.2% win rate (5,795 games)
  • Rapid: 42.2% win rate (590 games)
  • Classical: 53.6% win rate (33 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 37.4% expected score (42 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (37 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (111 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 38.2% expected score (163 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (23 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (224 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (390 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (72 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (391 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (1,042 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (167 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (691 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (2,108 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (216 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.9% expected score (1,161 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (1,913 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (107 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (300 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (139 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.3%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 56.3% win rate for white (298 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.8%) outperforms Bullet (44.7%) by 7.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 51.5%-60.9%) win rate for white, based on 298 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 693 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 44.4%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.1%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 42.5% (90% CI: 41.0%-43.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 44.1%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 439 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 43.2%-46.2%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 43.6%-45.7%) win rate for white (5.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-55.2%) win rate for white (590 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation is slightly favors black with a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.3%-46.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.