1.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Soltis Variation has a 48.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.7% and 50.7%), based on 1.0K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 56% → 47%
Best in Classical (60%), worst in Blitz (45%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Soltis Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 46.8%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K rated games from Lichess.
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Soltis Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (416 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (51.1%) outperforms Rapid (48.7%) by 2.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Soltis Variation has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Soltis Variation has a 42.1% (90% CI: 35.5%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 147 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Soltis Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 42.9%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 402 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Soltis Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 48.3%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 416 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Soltis Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 46.7%-55.5%) win rate for white (344 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Soltis Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 45.2%-51.6%) win rate for white (644 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Soltis Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.3% (90% CI: 46.8%-51.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.