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Polish Opening

Moves

White scores

53.7%

Wins more
Loses moreEvenWins more

51.8% won3.7% drawn44.5% lost

Theory 46.4% · Stockfish −0.4

Every level and clock · 11M games

8
7
6
5
4
3
2
a1
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
1.b4
Analyze this line move by move
Your levelnot setDrag to yours ↔
<100010001200140016001800200022002500+

Win rate by rating

White’s score gets better as the rating rises.

RatingScore against evenScoreWonGames
48.4%46.3%359K
53.2%51.7%595K
54.3%52.9%1.2M
53.8%52.3%2.0M
53.8%52.0%2.5M
53.7%51.6%2.3M
54.0%51.7%1.5M
54.7%52.1%523K
54.8%49.6%66K

Every clock · Tap a row to set your level.

What does Black play next?

Black's most played reply is 1…⁠d5, the Polish Opening, with d5.

Is the Polish Opening good?

Yes, for White, across every level and clock.

Everyone53.7
Stockfish46.4

Stockfish at depth 22 · −0.4 for White

Floor 53.7 is the worst score you would still get, 90% confident.

Among the families

11th of 66 families White can choose

Where it wins · rating × clock

<100010001200140016001800200022002500+Every levelUltraBulletBulletBlitzRapidClassical
Best 56.7% · 2000–2199 classicalWorst 39.4% · under 1000 classical

Faint, hatched: few games, never the best or worst. –: too few to score. Tap a cell to set your level and clock.

Average game length

How do you score in your own openings?

Leaks reads your recent games and lists the openings you score worst in.

See my openingsSave and drill this line

More Polish Opening lines

Most played first; each line counts its own games.

All 24 Polish Opening lines, ranked

24 variations · ranked by floor

Floor — the worst score you would still get, 90% confident.

1
Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit6.0K games
56.5%Floor 55.5%
2
Polish Opening: Bugayev Advance Variation153K games
55.5%Floor 55.3%
3
Polish Opening: Rooks Swap Line35K games
55.5%Floor 55.0%
Polish Opening6.2M games
55.0%Floor 54.9%
Polish Opening: Schiffler-Sokolsky Variation306K games
54.5%Floor 54.3%
Polish Opening: Symmetrical Variation137K games
54.2%Floor 54.0%
Polish Opening: Baltic Defense248K games
54.1%Floor 53.9%
Polish Opening: Queenside Defense25K games
53.9%Floor 53.4%
Polish Opening: Birmingham Gambit362K games
53.0%Floor 52.9%
Polish Opening: Queen's Indian Variation50K games
53.2%Floor 52.8%
Polish Opening: Grigorian Variation125K games
52.9%Floor 52.7%
Polish Opening: Myers Variation51K games
53.0%Floor 52.6%
Polish Opening: Bugayev Attack496K games
52.7%Floor 52.5%
Polish Opening: German Defense28K games
52.4%Floor 51.9%
Polish Opening: Dutch Defense142K games
52.0%Floor 51.7%
Polish Opening: Czech Defense1.3M games
51.5%Floor 51.5%
Polish Opening: Outflank Variation571K games
51.2%Floor 51.1%
Polish Opening: Tartakower Gambit27K games
51.3%Floor 50.8%
Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation649K games
50.3%Floor 50.2%
Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Sokolsky Attack47K games
50.5%Floor 50.2%
Polish Opening: Zukertort System100K games
49.6%Floor 49.4%
Polish Opening: Karniewski Variation2.1K games
50.7%Floor 48.9%
Polish Opening: Schuehler Gambit549 games
50.8%Floor 47.3%
Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack53K games
47.4%Floor 47.1%
Analyze Polish Opening PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every level and clock, the Polish Opening family scores 53.7% for White, from 11M rated Lichess games across 24 variations, and the low and high ends of its range both round to that same figure at this precision. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played September 2023 to August 2026.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
11M rated games played on Lichess (2023-09 to 2026-08). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt September 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
What the Floor and Edge at worst are
The Floor is the worst score you would still get, 90% confident: the low end of a figure’s range, not its average. Edge at worst is how far wins run ahead of losses, 90% confident, so above zero, that side wins more than it loses even on a bad day. Each is stated for the rating and clock shown, over the games that reached the position. They are on different scales: a score sits at 50 when the sides are level, an edge at zero.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A figure on it needs 100 games at its rating and clock: short of that the answer reads a wider scope and says so, a table row shows only its count, and a map cell shows a dash. Under 1.0K games a figure is drawn faint, and never leads a list or counts as the best or worst place the line wins. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.