What is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit expected score for Black?
Snapshot
At all ratings, the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit has a 42.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 41.5% and 44.0%), based on 4.1K Lichess games.
Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit
4.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
View As
Tough SellBlack Expected Score42.8%Range (90% confident): 41.5% – 44.0%Based on 4.1K games
0%42.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 41.5% – 44.0%
Outcome Distribution
41.4%2.8%55.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...c5
Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit
Analyzen=4.1K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Black Win% by Rating
Improves with rating: 47% → 49%
0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 0-999: 46.7% win rate (359 games)
- 1000-1199: 39.6% win rate (427 games)
- 1200-1399: 36.2% win rate (605 games)
- 1400-1599: 43.3% win rate (771 games)
- 1600-1799: 39.9% win rate (692 games)
- 1800-1999: 41.0% win rate (595 games)
- 2000-2199: 46.8% win rate (457 games)
- 2200-2499: 33.6% win rate (128 games)
- 2500+: 48.9% win rate (22 games)
Black Win% by Time Control
Best in Classical (49%), worst in Blitz (39%)
UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical
- UltraBullet: 42.5% win rate (35 games)
- Bullet: 43.6% win rate (2,119 games)
- Blitz: 38.6% win rate (1,361 games)
- Rapid: 39.0% win rate (523 games)
- Classical: 48.7% win rate (18 games)
Black% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | — | ||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (95 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (139 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (120 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.0% expected score (167 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 38.4% expected score (175 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (78 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 39.9% expected score (220 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 37.3% expected score (281 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 34.3% expected score (94 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (328 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (311 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (111 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (336 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 38.7% expected score (267 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 34.7% expected score (80 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (410 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 36.5% expected score (146 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (38 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (419 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 40.7% expected score (36 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 35.9% expected score (122 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (22 games)
Related Openings
Parent
Polish Opening52.9%
Analyze Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit win rate?
The Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit has a 55.9% (90% CI: 54.6%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit perform best?
The Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 61.4% win rate for white (605 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
Blitz (57.9%) outperforms Bullet (54.3%) by 3.6%. Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit?
The Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.
What is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?
At 0-999 Elo, the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 44.9%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 359 Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
What is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit has a 57.8% (90% CI: 53.8%-61.7%) win rate for white, based on 427 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
What is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit has a 61.4% (90% CI: 58.1%-64.6%) win rate for white, based on 605 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
What is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit has a 54.7% (90% CI: 51.7%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 771 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
What is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit has a 57.0% (90% CI: 53.9%-60.1%) win rate for white, based on 692 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
What is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit has a 56.1% (90% CI: 52.7%-59.4%) win rate for white, based on 595 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
What is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 46.4%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 457 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
What is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit has a 62.2% (90% CI: 55.1%-69.0%) win rate for white, based on 128 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
What is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet games, the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit has a 54.3% (90% CI: 52.5%-56.0%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.
What is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz games, the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit has a 57.9% (90% CI: 55.7%-60.1%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.
What is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid games, the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit has a 57.5% (90% CI: 53.9%-61.0%) win rate for white (523 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.
Is the Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit a good opening?
The Polish Opening: Wolferts Gambit is statistically favors white with a 55.9% (90% CI: 54.6%-57.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.