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Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack

35K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

47.1%

40%55%
Floor46.7%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.6%.

Measured over 35K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.6 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 35K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
35K
Best context
50.7% at 2000-2199 Bullet
Worst context
43.2% at 1400-1599 Rapid
Average game length
35 moves
Games that end decisively
96.4%
Draws
3.6%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.8% · Bullet best · Classical worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 47.3% at 0-999, 49.8% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.1% expected score (144 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (332 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (139 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (406 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (758 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (207 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (915 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (1,637 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (515 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (2,045 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (3,294 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (1,073 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 39.9% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (2,988 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (5,733 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (1,570 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 37.9% expected score (56 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (2,545 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (4,635 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (1,341 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 38.4% expected score (37 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (1,382 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (1,865 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (313 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (552 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (224 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (81 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (120 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Polish Opening
52.9%
Variations (5)
Polish Opening: Czech Defense
49.5%
Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation
48.0%
Polish Opening: Outflank Variation
49.2%
Polish Opening: Bugayev Attack
50.7%
Polish Opening: Birmingham Gambit
51.4%
Analyze Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack scores 47.1% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 46.7% and 47.6% — from 35K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
35K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate?

Playing the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack, White wins 45.3%, draws 3.6% and loses 51.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 35K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack perform best?

The Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 57.2% (132 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 46.7% in Blitz (18K games) against 45.5% in Rapid (5.2K games).

How sharp is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack?

The Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 44.4%, draws 2.2% and loses 53.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.5%. It rests on 617 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 42.8%, draws 3.5% and loses 53.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.6%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 44.7%, draws 2.7% and loses 52.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.1%. It rests on 3.1K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 43.7%, draws 3.1% and loses 53.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.3%. It rests on 6.4K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 46.2%, draws 3.4% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 10K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 45.5%, draws 4.4% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 8.6K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 46.0%, draws 4.2% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 3.6K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 47.5%, draws 4.5% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 858 Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 53.6%, draws 7.1% and loses 39.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.2%. It rests on 132 Lichess games, which average 41 moves.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 47.6%, draws 2.0% and loses 50.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 11K Lichess games.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 44.6%, draws 4.2% and loses 51.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.7%. It rests on 18K Lichess games.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 43.0%, draws 5.0% and loses 52.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.5%. It rests on 5.2K Lichess games.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 36.8%, draws 5.3% and loses 57.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 39.5%. It rests on 141 Lichess games.

Is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack a good opening?

The Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 45.3% of its games and loses 51.1%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.