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Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack

157K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.4%Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 53.7%Based on 157K games
0%53.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 53.7%
Outcome Distribution
50.2%6.4%43.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.d4
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack
Analyzen=157K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.4%

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a 53.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.2% and 53.7%), based on 157K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 30%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.5% win rate (2,016 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.9% win rate (4,446 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.0% win rate (9,455 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.6% win rate (20,728 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.5% win rate (35,403 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.9% win rate (41,585 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.3% win rate (28,261 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.0% win rate (11,155 games)
  • 2500+: 30.4% win rate (3,905 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (62%), worst in Bullet (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 62.2% win rate (17 games)
  • Bullet: 49.4% win rate (42,003 games)
  • Blitz: 49.9% win rate (87,239 games)
  • Rapid: 52.5% win rate (26,230 games)
  • Classical: 53.9% win rate (1,465 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (646 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (835 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (532 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (1,683 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (1,835 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 60.0% expected score (913 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 77.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (3,474 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (4,605 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 61.5% expected score (1,329 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.1% expected score (43 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (6,703 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (10,731 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (3,101 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (189 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (8,264 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (21,432 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (5,292 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 58.2% expected score (410 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (7,706 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (25,534 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (7,808 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (536 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (6,924 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (15,564 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (5,622 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.3% expected score (150 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (4,247 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (5,564 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.1% expected score (1,293 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (51 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (2,356 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (1,139 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (340 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 57.0% expected score (70 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Petrov's Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
41.7%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
45.3%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
38.0%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation
51.8%
Continuations (10)
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
41.7%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
45.3%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
38.0%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation
51.8%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Jaenisch Variation
47.1%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Marshall Trap
14.9%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation
47.1%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Marshall Variation, Chinese Gambit
54.7%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Mason Variation
51.0%
Analyze Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack win rate?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 157K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack perform best?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 54.9% win rate for white (4.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (52.5%) outperforms Bullet (49.4%) by 3.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a sharpness score of 93.6 (decisive), meaning 93.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a 52.5% (90% CI: 50.6%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a 54.9% (90% CI: 53.6%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.2%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a 30.4% (90% CI: 29.2%-31.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 55 moves with a 46.1% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.8%) win rate for white (42K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.2%) win rate for white (87K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.0%) win rate for white (26K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack has a 53.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-56.0%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.0%.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack a good opening?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack is statistically favors white with a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.