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Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation

779K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score39.5%Range (90% confident): 39.4% – 39.6%Based on 779K games
0%39.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 39.4% – 39.6%
Outcome Distribution
37.6%3.8%58.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nxe4
Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation
Analyzen=779K
Avg Length26 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 39.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 39.4% and 39.6%), based on 779K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.1% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 38% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 37.6% win rate (258,330 games)
  • 1000-1199: 35.6% win rate (184,631 games)
  • 1200-1399: 36.5% win rate (133,532 games)
  • 1400-1599: 37.8% win rate (92,839 games)
  • 1600-1799: 40.7% win rate (55,541 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.0% win rate (31,587 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.9% win rate (14,669 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.9% win rate (6,683 games)
  • 2500+: 42.0% win rate (1,285 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (43%), worst in Classical (30%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.6% win rate (908 games)
  • Bullet: 41.6% win rate (126,020 games)
  • Blitz: 38.6% win rate (344,271 games)
  • Rapid: 35.1% win rate (294,207 games)
  • Classical: 29.6% win rate (13,691 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.2% expected score (117 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.4% expected score (34,024 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 40.0% expected score (106,011 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 39.4% expected score (116,873 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.8% expected score (1,305 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.4% expected score (158 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 40.6% expected score (26,353 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 38.3% expected score (80,273 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 35.2% expected score (74,631 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 34.4% expected score (3,216 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 44.1% expected score (159 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (20,805 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 39.5% expected score (59,550 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 35.0% expected score (49,181 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 31.2% expected score (3,837 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (197 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 42.7% expected score (16,218 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.7% expected score (42,079 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 36.0% expected score (30,660 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 27.5% expected score (3,685 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (82 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (11,471 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (28,371 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 38.8% expected score (14,321 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 28.8% expected score (1,296 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.6% expected score (78 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (8,210 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (17,218 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (5,781 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 33.3% expected score (300 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.3% expected score (74 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (4,743 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (7,564 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (2,240 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 32.9% expected score (48 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (3,254 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (2,885 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (504 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (942 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (320 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (16 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Petrov's Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Petrov's Defense: Three Knights Game
50.2%
Petrov's Defense: Italian Variation
50.9%
Petrov's Defense: Stafford Gambit
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack
51.5%
Petrov's Defense: Cozio Attack
48.6%
Continuations (1)
Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit
47.6%
Analyze Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation win rate?

The Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 58.6% (90% CI: 58.5%-58.7%) win rate for white, based on 779K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation perform best?

The Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 61.0% win rate for white (185K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (66.6%) outperforms UltraBullet (55.5%) by 11.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation?

The Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 57.9% (90% CI: 57.8%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 258K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 61.0% (90% CI: 60.9%-61.2%) win rate for white, based on 185K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 60.4% (90% CI: 60.2%-60.6%) win rate for white, based on 134K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 59.0% (90% CI: 58.7%-59.3%) win rate for white, based on 93K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 55.8% (90% CI: 55.5%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 56K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 55.5% (90% CI: 52.8%-58.2%) win rate for white (908 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 56.1%-56.5%) win rate for white (126K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 57.6% (90% CI: 57.4%-57.7%) win rate for white (344K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 60.5% (90% CI: 60.4%-60.6%) win rate for white (294K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation has a 66.6% (90% CI: 65.9%-67.2%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation a good opening?

The Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation is statistically favors white with a 58.6% (90% CI: 58.5%-58.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.