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Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit

183K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.6%Range (90% confident): 49.4% – 49.8%Based on 183K games
0%49.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.4% – 49.8%
Outcome Distribution
46.7%5.7%47.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Qe7
Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit
Analyzen=183K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.7%

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 49.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.4% and 49.8%), based on 183K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +9.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 91.9 · Trap factor: -0.3 · n=183K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 20.0% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~39%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 39.4% win rate (21,673 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.0% win rate (22,216 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.6% win rate (26,001 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.7% win rate (28,343 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.3% win rate (25,960 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.5% win rate (22,078 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.1% win rate (17,652 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.0% win rate (15,551 games)
  • 2500+: 39.0% win rate (3,646 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Classical (31%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.5% win rate (122 games)
  • Bullet: 52.3% win rate (49,826 games)
  • Blitz: 47.2% win rate (88,245 games)
  • Rapid: 39.9% win rate (42,510 games)
  • Classical: 30.5% win rate (2,417 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 62.3% expected score (23 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (5,162 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 41.5% expected score (7,647 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 36.0% expected score (8,725 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 27.1% expected score (116 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (5,985 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (9,114 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 37.2% expected score (6,806 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 28.2% expected score (290 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 63.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (7,831 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (11,222 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (6,493 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 28.1% expected score (431 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 40.4% expected score (35 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (7,048 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (13,189 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (7,293 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 29.9% expected score (778 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (6,405 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (13,351 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (5,779 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 37.8% expected score (420 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (5,371 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (13,206 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (3,288 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (209 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (4,468 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (10,568 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (2,484 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (126 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (5,408 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (8,550 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (1,547 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 45.5% expected score (43 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (2,148 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (1,398 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 39.1% expected score (95 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 31.8% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Petrov's Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Petrov's Defense: Three Knights Game
50.2%
Petrov's Defense: Italian Variation
50.9%
Petrov's Defense: Stafford Gambit
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack
51.5%
Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation
58.6%
Analyze Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit win rate?

The Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 183K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit perform best?

The Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 56.2% win rate for white (22K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (62.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (42.5%) by 20.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit?

The Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.3 (decisive), meaning 94.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 56.2% (90% CI: 55.6%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 45.5% (90% CI: 45.0%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 44.2% (90% CI: 43.7%-44.8%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 41.3% (90% CI: 40.7%-41.9%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 40.4% (90% CI: 39.8%-41.1%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 10.5% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 44.2% (90% CI: 42.9%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 46 moves with a 16.8% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 42.5% (90% CI: 35.3%-49.9%) win rate for white (122 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 43.6% (90% CI: 43.3%-44.0%) win rate for white (50K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 46.4% (90% CI: 46.1%-46.7%) win rate for white (88K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.5%) win rate for white (43K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit has a 62.5% (90% CI: 60.9%-64.1%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit a good opening?

The Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation, Kholmov Gambit is statistically balanced with a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.