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Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation

589 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score45.3%Range (90% confident): 41.9% – 48.7%Based on 589 games
0%45.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 41.9% – 48.7%
Outcome Distribution
41.7%7.0%51.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.Nbd2
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
Analyzen=589
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.0%

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation has a 45.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 41.9% and 48.7%), based on 589 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 14% → 39%

1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1200-1399: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.5% win rate (4 games)
  • 1600-1799: 34.4% win rate (29 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.7% win rate (85 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.4% win rate (189 games)
  • 2200-2499: 38.9% win rate (213 games)
  • 2500+: 38.7% win rate (67 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (65%), worst in Rapid (34%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 40.6% win rate (108 games)
  • Blitz: 43.4% win rate (382 games)
  • Rapid: 33.7% win rate (92 games)
  • Classical: 64.7% win rate (7 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (59 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (136 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (28 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (135 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 34.5% expected score (37 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.7% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (37 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Petrov's Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack
50.2%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
45.3%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
38.0%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation
51.8%
Analyze Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation win rate?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation has a 41.7% (90% CI: 38.4%-45.1%) win rate for white, based on 589 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation perform best?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 45.4% win rate for white (189 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (43.4%) outperforms Rapid (33.7%) by 9.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation has a sharpness score of 93.0 (decisive), meaning 93.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 39.5%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 189 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation has a 38.9% (90% CI: 33.5%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 213 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation has a 40.6% (90% CI: 33.0%-48.4%) win rate for white (108 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.6%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation has a 43.4% (90% CI: 39.3%-47.6%) win rate for white (382 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation a good opening?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation is slightly favors black with a 41.7% (90% CI: 38.4%-45.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.