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Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line

3.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.4%Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 55.7%Based on 3.4K games
0%54.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 55.7%
Outcome Distribution
38.0%32.8%29.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
9.Be2
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
Analyzen=3.4K
Avg Length50 moves
Sharpness67%
Draw Rate32.8%

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line has a 54.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.1% and 55.7%), based on 3.4K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 18.1% · Blitz best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 21%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.5% win rate (4 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.6% win rate (21 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.8% win rate (28 games)
  • 1800-1999: 41.6% win rate (163 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.8% win rate (635 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.8% win rate (1,252 games)
  • 2500+: 21.4% win rate (1,316 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (45%), worst in Classical (24%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 26.8% win rate (1,224 games)
  • Blitz: 44.9% win rate (1,776 games)
  • Rapid: 43.3% win rate (374 games)
  • Classical: 24.2% win rate (46 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399————
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 65.8% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (40 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (100 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 35.4% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (101 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (427 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (93 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (205 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (894 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (141 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (867 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (326 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (109 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (14 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Petrov's Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack
50.2%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
41.7%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
45.3%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation
51.8%
Analyze Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line win rate?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line has a 38.0% (90% CI: 36.6%-39.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line perform best?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 48.8% win rate for white (1.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (44.9%) outperforms Bullet (26.8%) by 18.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line has a sharpness score of 67.2 (drawish), meaning 67.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 50 moves.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line has a 41.6% (90% CI: 35.4%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 163 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 10.6% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line has a 48.8% (90% CI: 45.5%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 635 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line has a 48.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 46 moves with a 12.2% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line has a 21.4% (90% CI: 19.6%-23.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 60 moves with a 68.2% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line has a 26.8% (90% CI: 24.7%-28.9%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 56.2%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line has a 44.9% (90% CI: 43.0%-46.9%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 17.7%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line has a 43.3% (90% CI: 39.1%-47.5%) win rate for white (374 Lichess games). Draw rate is 26.2%.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line a good opening?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line is statistically favors white with a 38.0% (90% CI: 36.6%-39.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.