Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit

White Gambit

Source Lichess

Tough Sell-6%
All Ratings
Minimum Advantage-6.3%

White loses more often than wins at this level

Rating TrendPeak: +3.0% at 2200-2499
Win%45.9%
Games11K
Breakpoint (Overall)0-999
4.Bg5
Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat GambitWhite Gambit
Rating
Time Control

Does Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit work for White at All Ratings?

Snapshot

At All Ratings, Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit gives White a -6.3% minimum advantage (90% confidence). This gambit underperforms at this level.

RatingMin AdvWhite WinDrawWhite LossGames
0-999-19.1%42.4%3.2%54.4%516
1000-1199-11.4%45.8%2.8%51.4%772
1200-1399-8.6%46.9%2.1%50.9%1.3K
1400-1599-6.0%47.6%2.6%49.8%1.8K
1600-1799-9.2%45.7%3.0%51.2%2.0K
1800-1999-15.4%42.2%3.8%54.0%2.0K
2000-2199-10.6%44.8%4.3%50.8%1.3K
2200-2499+3.0%52.5%4.4%43.1%672
2500++1.6%49.8%9.4%40.9%504
Full Opening StatsSee rating/time-control breakdowns for White on the opening stats page
Analyze Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit sound?

The Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit breaks at 0-999 overall (all time controls)—the first rating bracket where White no longer statistically wins more than loses. Below this rating, the gambit is viable for White. Note: breakpoints vary by time control—use the filters above for specific data.

What is the Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit win rate?

The Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.1%-46.7%) win rate for White overall, with a 3.5% draw rate and 50.6% loss rate. This is based on 11K games from Lichess.

What is the best rating to play the Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit?

The Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit performs best at 2200-2499, where White has a minimum advantage of +3.0%. This means we're 90% confident White wins at least 3.0 percentage points more than they lose at this rating.

Is the Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (+-4.3% edge) outperforms Rapid (+-15.8% edge) by 11.5 percentage points. Faster time controls typically favor gambits because opponents have less time to find accurate defenses.

Does the Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit breakpoint vary by time control?

Yes, significantly. Breakpoints by time control: Bullet: 0-999, Blitz: 0-999, Rapid: 0-999, Classical: Never. "Never" means the gambit remains viable through all rating brackets in that time control. Faster time controls typically extend viability.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit?

The Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit is extremely sharp with only 3.5% draws—96.5% of games end decisively. This makes it an excellent choice when you need to play for a win rather than accept a draw.

Should I play the Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit?

If you're below 0-999 overall, the Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit is statistically favorable for White. Above that rating, opponents defend better and the gambit's edge disappears. Consider your typical opponents' level and the time control—faster games extend the gambit's viability.

How do I defend against the Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit?

As Black, the Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit becomes easier to defend at 0-999 and above. Key principles: accept the material but develop quickly, castle early, trade pieces to reduce attacking potential, and return material at the right moment to neutralize the initiative. In faster time controls, the gambit is harder to defend—consider declining or transposing if you're not prepared.

How reliable is the Indian Defense: Omega Gambit, Arafat Gambit data?

This analysis is based on 11K games from Lichess. All statistics include 90% confidence intervals. Generally, 300+ games provide statistically meaningful results. Rating-specific and time-control-specific breakdowns have their own sample sizes shown in the table above.