King's Gambit Accepted

110K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score44.9%Range (90% confident): 44.7% – 45.2%Based on 110K games
0%44.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.7% – 45.2%
Outcome Distribution
43.1%3.6%53.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...exf4
King's Gambit Accepted
Analyzen=110K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 44.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 44.7% and 45.2%), based on 110K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 40% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 39.8% win rate (18,548 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.4% win rate (21,162 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.8% win rate (24,112 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.4% win rate (20,598 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.6% win rate (14,208 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.4% win rate (7,682 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.6% win rate (2,703 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.5% win rate (522 games)
  • 2500+: 43.4% win rate (55 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (52%), worst in Classical (27%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.0% win rate (440 games)
  • Bullet: 47.0% win rate (37,555 games)
  • Blitz: 42.3% win rate (50,923 games)
  • Rapid: 38.4% win rate (19,850 games)
  • Classical: 26.9% win rate (822 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.6% expected score (75 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (4,373 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.2% expected score (9,564 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 37.9% expected score (4,481 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 20.8% expected score (55 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.2% expected score (63 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (5,488 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (11,100 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (4,384 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.3% expected score (127 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 52.9% expected score (69 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (6,677 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (12,371 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (4,788 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 34.4% expected score (207 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.0% expected score (97 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (7,023 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (9,508 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 39.4% expected score (3,637 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 24.3% expected score (333 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.2% expected score (106 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (6,663 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5,564 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 38.7% expected score (1,794 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (81 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.9% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (4,711 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 40.3% expected score (2,286 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 37.6% expected score (650 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 33.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (2,134 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 34.3% expected score (464 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 34.1% expected score (96 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (434 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 34.0% expected score (64 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 32.9% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (52 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Analyze King's Gambit Accepted PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted has a 43.1% (90% CI: 42.9%-43.4%) win rate for white, based on 110K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 44.8% win rate for white (24K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (52.0%) outperforms Classical (26.9%) by 25.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted?

The King's Gambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 39.8% (90% CI: 39.2%-40.4%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 44.4% (90% CI: 43.9%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.3%-45.3%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 42.4% (90% CI: 41.8%-42.9%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 43.6% (90% CI: 42.9%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 43.4% (90% CI: 42.4%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 43.6% (90% CI: 42.0%-45.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 42.5% (90% CI: 39.0%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 522 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 52.0% (90% CI: 48.1%-55.9%) win rate for white (440 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.4%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 42.3% (90% CI: 41.9%-42.7%) win rate for white (51K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 38.4% (90% CI: 37.9%-39.0%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 26.9% (90% CI: 24.4%-29.5%) win rate for white (822 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted is slightly favors black with a 43.1% (90% CI: 42.9%-43.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.