410K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a 48.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.4% and 48.6%), based on 410K Lichess games.
Stable across ratings (~46%)
Best in Bullet (48%), worst in UltraBullet (41%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 410K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 53.5% win rate for white (41K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (50.9%) outperforms Blitz (49.6%) by 1.3%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 85K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 125K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 103K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a 47.1% (90% CI: 42.9%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 373 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.5%) win rate for white (63K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.8%) win rate for white (268K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.2%) win rate for white (76K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.
In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.0%-53.7%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense is statistically balanced with a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.