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King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense

2.1M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.3%Range (90% confident): 46.3% – 46.4%Based on 2.1M games
0%46.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.3% – 46.4%
Outcome Distribution
44.7%3.2%52.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...d6
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
Analyzen=2.1M
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 46.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.3% and 46.4%), based on 2.1M Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 45% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.9% win rate (37,327 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.8% win rate (116,342 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.9% win rate (263,978 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.9% win rate (473,158 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.6% win rate (606,888 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.7% win rate (450,159 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.4% win rate (151,212 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.8% win rate (29,844 games)
  • 2500+: 41.7% win rate (2,244 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (50%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.8% win rate (1,421 games)
  • Bullet: 46.1% win rate (529,003 games)
  • Blitz: 44.5% win rate (1,244,282 games)
  • Rapid: 43.3% win rate (345,545 games)
  • Classical: 41.9% win rate (10,901 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (99 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (14,764 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (18,260 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (4,189 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.1% expected score (150 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (41,957 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (60,647 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (13,450 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 41.8% expected score (138 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 46.8% expected score (340 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (80,249 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (147,237 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (35,355 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 43.5% expected score (797 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.0% expected score (378 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (112,083 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (282,475 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.5% expected score (75,458 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.2% expected score (2,764 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.6% expected score (354 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (123,408 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (371,226 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (107,293 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (4,607 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.8% expected score (68 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (94,348 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (268,754 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (84,813 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.1% expected score (2,176 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (45,879 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (82,063 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (22,879 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.2% expected score (374 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (14,780 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (12,942 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (2,082 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 42.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (1,535 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (678 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (26 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Cunningham Defense
46.0%
Continuations (1)
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation
55.8%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 52.1% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.1M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 53.8% win rate for white (116K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (53.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.3%) by 4.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 116K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.3%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 264K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 53.2% (90% CI: 53.0%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 473K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 607K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 450K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 151K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 51.5% (90% CI: 49.8%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-51.5%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.0%) win rate for white (529K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.1%) win rate for white (1.2M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.6%-52.8%) win rate for white (346K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.1%-54.6%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense is statistically favors white with a 52.1% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.