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King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit

21K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

52.1%

45%60%
Floor51.5%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 52.6%.

Measured over 21K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 21K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
21K
Best context
57.1% at 1800-1999 Blitz
Worst context
43.2% at 0-999 Rapid
Average game length
31 moves
Games that end decisively
96.5%
Draws
3.5%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.6% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.3% · Blitz best · Classical worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 47.7% at 0-999, 56.4% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199——
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (550 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (1,817 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (638 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (468 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (1,851 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (551 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 33.7% expected score (26 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (487 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (1,696 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (527 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.2% expected score (45 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (330 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (1,291 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (930 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.9% expected score (56 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (314 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (2,637 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (869 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (850 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (2,499 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (306 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (142 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (1,209 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (270 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 42.9% expected score (117 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (107 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (69 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 39.7% expected score (13 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit scores 52.1% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 51.5% and 52.6% — from 21K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
21K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games before we will say where it stops working. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit scores 52.1% (range, 90% confident: 51.5% – 52.6%) for White, based on 21K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit performs best at 1800-1999, where it scores 55.2% for White (3.7K games). It tends to score less at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, Blitz (53.5%) outperforms Classical (42.1%). Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit scores 48.5% (range, 90% confident: 47.0% – 50.0%) for White, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit scores 49.9% (range, 90% confident: 48.4% – 51.4%) for White, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit scores 50.9% (range, 90% confident: 49.4% – 52.5%) for White, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit scores 51.2% (range, 90% confident: 49.6% – 52.8%) for White, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit scores 53.8% (range, 90% confident: 52.5% – 55.1%) for White, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit scores 55.2% (range, 90% confident: 53.8% – 56.5%) for White, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit scores 55.2% (range, 90% confident: 53.2% – 57.2%) for White, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit scores 47.2% (range, 90% confident: 42.4% – 51.9%) for White, based on 294 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit scores 50.1% (range, 90% confident: 48.7% – 51.6%) for White (3.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit scores 53.5% (range, 90% confident: 52.8% – 54.2%) for White (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit scores 49.5% (range, 90% confident: 48.2% – 50.7%) for White (4.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit scores 42.1% (range, 90% confident: 36.0% – 48.3%) for White (169 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Breyer Gambit is about level with a 50.3% (range, 90% confident: 49.7% – 50.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.