What is the King's Gambit Accepted expected score for White?
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 44.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 44.7% and 45.2%), based on 110K Lichess games.
110K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 44.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 44.7% and 45.2%), based on 110K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 40% → 43%
Best in UltraBullet (52%), worst in Classical (27%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted has a 43.1% (90% CI: 42.9%-43.4%) win rate for white, based on 110K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 44.8% win rate for white (24K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
UltraBullet (52.0%) outperforms Classical (26.9%) by 25.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 39.8% (90% CI: 39.2%-40.4%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 44.4% (90% CI: 43.9%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.3%-45.3%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 42.4% (90% CI: 41.8%-42.9%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 43.6% (90% CI: 42.9%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 43.4% (90% CI: 42.4%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 43.6% (90% CI: 42.0%-45.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 42.5% (90% CI: 39.0%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 522 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 52.0% (90% CI: 48.1%-55.9%) win rate for white (440 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.4%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 42.3% (90% CI: 41.9%-42.7%) win rate for white (51K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 38.4% (90% CI: 37.9%-39.0%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.
In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted has a 26.9% (90% CI: 24.4%-29.5%) win rate for white (822 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.
The King's Gambit Accepted is slightly favors black with a 43.1% (90% CI: 42.9%-43.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.