King's Gambit Accepted

110K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

55.1%

45%60%

Floor54.8%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 55.3%.

Measured over 110K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for Black at this level and clock.

Outcomes for Black

53.3%3.6%43.1%

Win

Draw

Loss

Draw 3.6 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 110K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here: not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context: 110K
Best context: 62.4% at 1800-1999 Rapid
Worst context: 50.6% at 1600-1799 Bullet
Average game length: 28 moves
Games that end decisively: 96.4%
Draws: 3.6%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 25.1% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 59.6% at 0-999, 49.0% at 2500+.

Rating	UB	Class
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+	—	—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.5% expected score (75 games)
0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (4,373 games)
0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (9,564 games)
0-999 rating, Rapid: 62.1% expected score (4,481 games)
0-999 rating, Classical: 79.2% expected score (55 games)
1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.8% expected score (63 games)
1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (5,488 games)
1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (11,100 games)
1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (4,384 games)
1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.7% expected score (127 games)
1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 47.2% expected score (69 games)
1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (6,677 games)
1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (12,371 games)
1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (4,788 games)
1200-1399 rating, Classical: 65.6% expected score (207 games)
1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.1% expected score (97 games)
1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (7,023 games)
1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (9,508 games)
1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.7% expected score (3,637 games)
1400-1599 rating, Classical: 75.7% expected score (333 games)
1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (106 games)
1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (6,663 games)
1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (5,564 games)
1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 61.3% expected score (1,794 games)
1600-1799 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (81 games)
1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (4,711 games)
1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.7% expected score (2,286 games)
1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 62.4% expected score (650 games)
1800-1999 rating, Classical: 66.3% expected score (17 games)
2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (2,134 games)
2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 65.8% expected score (464 games)
2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 65.9% expected score (96 games)
2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (434 games)
2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 66.1% expected score (64 games)
2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 67.1% expected score (19 games)
2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (52 games)
2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Continuations (10)

King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense

53.4%

King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense

52.1%

King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit

55.3%

King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense

51.3%

King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense

53.3%

King's Gambit Accepted: Cunningham Defense

46.0%

King's Gambit Accepted: Becker Defense

50.0%

King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense

46.9%

King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit

53.4%

King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense

52.1%

Analyze King's Gambit Accepted PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Gambit Accepted scores 55.1% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 54.8% and 55.3% — from 110K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made

Whose games these are: 110K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count: Rated games only — nothing casual.
Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
At least 2 moves played.
A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range: A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything: An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate?

Playing the King's Gambit Accepted, Black wins 53.3%, draws 3.6% and loses 43.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.1%. It rests on 110K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 58.0% (19K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the King's Gambit Accepted scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 55.7% in Blitz (51K games) against 59.2% in Rapid (20K games).

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted?

The King's Gambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 55.8%, draws 4.4% and loses 39.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.0%. It rests on 19K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 51.9%, draws 3.6% and loses 44.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 21K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 51.9%, draws 3.3% and loses 44.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 24K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 54.3%, draws 3.3% and loses 42.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.0%. It rests on 21K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 53.2%, draws 3.2% and loses 43.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.8%. It rests on 14K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 53.4%, draws 3.2% and loses 43.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.0%. It rests on 7.7K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 52.4%, draws 4.0% and loses 43.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.4%. It rests on 2.7K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 51.5%, draws 6.0% and loses 42.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.5%. It rests on 522 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 46.8%, draws 1.2% and loses 52.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.4%. It rests on 440 Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 50.8%, draws 2.2% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.9%. It rests on 38K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 53.6%, draws 4.1% and loses 42.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.7%. It rests on 51K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 56.8%, draws 4.8% and loses 38.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.2%. It rests on 20K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 67.9%, draws 5.2% and loses 26.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 70.5%. It rests on 822 Lichess games.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted is good for Black. Across all ratings, Black wins 53.3% of its games and loses 43.1%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.