King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit
67K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
63.5%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 63.8%.
Measured over 67K games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 2.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 67K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 67K
- Best context
- 73.2% at 1000-1199 Bullet
- Worst context
- 59.9% at 2000-2199 Rapid
- Average game length
- 27 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 97.7%
- Draws
- 2.3%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 64.2% at 0-999, 70.5% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 67.4% expected score (142 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 61.4% expected score (95 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (30 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 73.2% expected score (511 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 66.4% expected score (353 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 69.3% expected score (53 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 68.9% expected score (1,415 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 71.2% expected score (1,534 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (240 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 66.6% expected score (2,673 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 66.5% expected score (5,615 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 63.9% expected score (967 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (46 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 64.2% expected score (4,015 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 63.6% expected score (12,626 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 64.0% expected score (2,737 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 65.1% expected score (108 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 62.0% expected score (3,985 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 62.2% expected score (14,651 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 62.9% expected score (4,094 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (126 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 62.3% expected score (2,130 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 60.1% expected score (5,462 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.9% expected score (1,357 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 62.8% expected score (26 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 60.5% expected score (903 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (489 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.4% expected score (131 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.6% expected score (72 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 73.3% expected score (20 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit scores 63.5% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 63.2% and 63.8% — from 67K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 67K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate?
Playing the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit, White wins 62.3%, draws 2.3% and loses 35.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 63.5%. It rests on 67K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit perform best?
The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit performs best for White at 1200-1399, with an Expected Score of 69.3% (3.2K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 63.3% in Blitz (41K games) against 62.8% in Rapid (9.6K games).
How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit?
The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.7 (very decisive), meaning 97.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 27 moves.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 62.4%, draws 1.3% and loses 36.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 63.1%. It rests on 270 Lichess games, which average 19 moves.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 69.8%, draws 1.3% and loses 29.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 70.4%. It rests on 918 Lichess games, which average 20 moves.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 68.8%, draws 1.0% and loses 30.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 69.3%. It rests on 3.2K Lichess games, which average 22 moves.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 65.3%, draws 1.7% and loses 33.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 66.2%. It rests on 9.3K Lichess games, which average 24 moves.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 62.7%, draws 2.2% and loses 35.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 63.8%. It rests on 19K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 61.0%, draws 2.6% and loses 36.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 62.3%. It rests on 23K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 59.1%, draws 3.0% and loses 37.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 60.6%. It rests on 9.0K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 58.1%, draws 2.9% and loses 39.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.6%. It rests on 1.5K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 63.4%, draws 1.7% and loses 34.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 64.3%. It rests on 16K Lichess games.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 62.0%, draws 2.4% and loses 35.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 63.3%. It rests on 41K Lichess games.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 61.4%, draws 2.7% and loses 35.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 62.8%. It rests on 9.6K Lichess games.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 59.1%, draws 4.0% and loses 36.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 61.1%. It rests on 314 Lichess games.
Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit a good opening?
The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 62.3% of its games and loses 35.4%. It performs best at 1200-1399. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.