TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack

335 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score38.9%Range (90% confident): 34.6% – 43.3%Based on 335 games
0%38.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 34.6% – 43.3%
Outcome Distribution
37.9%1.9%60.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Qe7
King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack
Analyzen=335
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate1.9%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack has a 38.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 34.6% and 43.3%), based on 335 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -27.1% · Breakpoint: 1400-1599

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 8% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200

  • 0-999: 7.7% win rate (5 games)
  • 1000-1199: 33.3% win rate (9 games)
  • 1200-1399: 40.4% win rate (27 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.6% win rate (61 games)
  • 1600-1799: 34.9% win rate (106 games)
  • 1800-1999: 38.4% win rate (104 games)
  • 2000-2199: 31.7% win rate (19 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.5% win rate (4 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (43%), worst in Rapid (34%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 38.9% win rate (46 games)
  • Blitz: 39.4% win rate (190 games)
  • Rapid: 34.0% win rate (97 games)
  • Classical: 42.9% win rate (2 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+—————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 37.1% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (39 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 38.0% expected score (61 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 35.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (55 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 33.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack has a 60.2% (90% CI: 55.8%-64.5%) win rate for white, based on 335 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 60.9% win rate for white (106 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (62.4%) outperforms Blitz (58.7%) by 3.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack has a sharpness score of 98.1 (very decisive), meaning 98.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack has a 60.9% (90% CI: 53.1%-68.5%) win rate for white, based on 106 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack has a 59.2% (90% CI: 51.3%-67.0%) win rate for white, based on 104 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack has a 58.7% (90% CI: 52.9%-64.5%) win rate for white (190 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Kling and Horwitz Counterattack is statistically favors white with a 60.2% (90% CI: 55.8%-64.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.