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King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense

3.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.4%Range (90% confident): 44.0% – 46.9%Based on 3.2K games
0%45.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.0% – 46.9%
Outcome Distribution
44.1%2.6%53.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Qe7
King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense
Analyzen=3.2K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.6%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 45.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.0% and 46.9%), based on 3.2K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -6.6% · Breakpoint: 1200-1399

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 64% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 63.6% win rate (4 games)
  • 1000-1199: 30.2% win rate (20 games)
  • 1200-1399: 34.1% win rate (82 games)
  • 1400-1599: 37.9% win rate (269 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.7% win rate (782 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.1% win rate (1,366 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.3% win rate (584 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.5% win rate (48 games)
  • 2500+: 41.2% win rate (7 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (76%), worst in Blitz (44%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 44.0% win rate (665 games)
  • Blitz: 43.7% win rate (2,148 games)
  • Rapid: 45.8% win rate (338 games)
  • Classical: 76.0% win rate (11 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 41.4% expected score (45 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 27.5% expected score (34 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 40.9% expected score (81 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 37.0% expected score (171 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.1% expected score (176 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (516 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (84 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 90.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (225 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (974 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (165 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 41.5% expected score (92 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (426 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (64 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (24 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 53.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 64.1% win rate for white (82 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (53.4%) outperforms Rapid (52.3%) by 1.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 59.3% (90% CI: 54.4%-64.2%) win rate for white, based on 269 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 54.2% (90% CI: 51.2%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 782 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 51.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 52.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 584 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 54.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-57.3%) win rate for white (665 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 53.4% (90% CI: 51.6%-55.2%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 52.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-56.7%) win rate for white (338 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense is statistically favors white with a 53.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-54.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.