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Analyzer

Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit

167K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.4%Range (90% confident): 46.2% – 46.6%Based on 167K games
0%46.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.2% – 46.6%
Outcome Distribution
43.6%5.5%50.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit
n=167K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.5%

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a 46.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.2% and 46.6%), based on 167K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~43%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.3% win rate (339 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.8% win rate (1,563 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.3% win rate (5,157 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.4% win rate (15,095 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.8% win rate (33,909 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.4% win rate (46,155 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.9% win rate (34,152 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.1% win rate (24,234 games)
  • 2500+: 43.3% win rate (6,625 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Rapid (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (11 games)
  • Bullet: 45.6% win rate (41,649 games)
  • Blitz: 43.6% win rate (89,554 games)
  • Rapid: 41.3% win rate (33,901 games)
  • Classical: 42.0% win rate (2,114 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (134 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (108 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 31.0% expected score (96 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (647 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (532 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (373 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 34.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (1,749 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (2,248 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.4% expected score (1,117 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (4,068 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (7,557 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.4% expected score (3,292 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (175 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (6,553 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (19,731 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (7,001 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.7% expected score (623 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (8,237 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (25,462 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (11,651 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.6% expected score (804 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (7,693 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (18,857 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (7,238 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.5% expected score (363 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (8,791 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (12,499 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (2,867 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (77 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (3,777 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (2,560 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (266 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (22 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Continuations (6)
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Anderssen Variation
50.6%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Greco Variation
56.8%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Main Line
43.8%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Moeller-Bayonet Attack
47.1%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Moeller-Therkatz Attack
51.2%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line
52.2%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit win rate?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a 43.6% (90% CI: 43.4%-43.8%) win rate for white, based on 167K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit perform best?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 45.1% win rate for white (24K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (45.6%) outperforms Classical (42.0%) by 3.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.5 (decisive), meaning 94.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a 43.3% (90% CI: 38.9%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 339 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a 43.8% (90% CI: 41.8%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.1%-45.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a 43.4% (90% CI: 42.7%-44.0%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a 42.8% (90% CI: 42.3%-43.2%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a 43.4% (90% CI: 43.0%-43.7%) win rate for white, based on 46K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a 43.9% (90% CI: 43.5%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.5%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a 43.3% (90% CI: 42.3%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 21.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a 45.6% (90% CI: 45.2%-46.0%) win rate for white (42K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a 43.6% (90% CI: 43.4%-43.9%) win rate for white (90K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a 41.3% (90% CI: 40.9%-41.8%) win rate for white (34K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit has a 42.0% (90% CI: 40.2%-43.8%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.3%.

Is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit a good opening?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit is slightly favors black with a 43.6% (90% CI: 43.4%-43.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.