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Analyzer

Italian Game: Bird's Attack

167K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score48.9%Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 49.1%Based on 167K games
0%48.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 49.1%
Outcome Distribution
47.2%3.4%49.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.b4
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
Analyzen=167K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a 48.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.7% and 49.1%), based on 167K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.6% win rate (6,539 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.7% win rate (16,916 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.6% win rate (30,544 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.8% win rate (40,450 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.0% win rate (36,234 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.6% win rate (23,689 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.9% win rate (8,946 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.8% win rate (2,475 games)
  • 2500+: 41.7% win rate (726 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (46 games)
  • Bullet: 50.1% win rate (36,459 games)
  • Blitz: 46.9% win rate (85,987 games)
  • Rapid: 45.4% win rate (42,061 games)
  • Classical: 42.6% win rate (1,966 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (1,987 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2,975 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (1,557 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (4,702 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (8,728 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (3,427 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (6,885 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (16,326 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (7,175 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.9% expected score (145 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (7,384 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (21,573 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (11,029 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.2% expected score (451 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (6,543 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (18,299 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (10,824 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (566 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (4,414 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (12,629 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (6,010 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (636 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (2,827 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (4,179 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (1,839 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.5% expected score (101 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (1,390 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (915 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (168 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (327 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (363 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit
52.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Bird's Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack win rate?

The Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a 47.2% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 167K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Bird's Attack perform best?

The Italian Game: Bird's Attack performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 48.7% win rate for white (17K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.1%) outperforms Classical (42.6%) by 7.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack?

The Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.1%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.1%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a 41.7% (90% CI: 38.7%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 726 Lichess games. Average game length is 50 moves with a 20.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.5%) win rate for white (36K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.2%) win rate for white (86K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a 45.4% (90% CI: 45.0%-45.8%) win rate for white (42K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Bird's Attack has a 42.6% (90% CI: 40.7%-44.4%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

Is the Italian Game: Bird's Attack a good opening?

The Italian Game: Bird's Attack is statistically balanced with a 47.2% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.