What is the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 54.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 54.7%), based on 29K Lichess games.
29K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 54.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 54.7%), based on 29K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Stable across ratings (~56%)
Best in Bullet (55%), worst in Classical (42%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 29K rated games from Lichess.
The Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 55.0% win rate for white (2.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (54.6%) outperforms Classical (42.2%) by 12.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 56.0% (90% CI: 49.0%-62.8%) win rate for white, based on 137 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 55.0% (90% CI: 49.3%-60.7%) win rate for white, based on 203 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 52.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 333 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 47.0%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 612 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 48.5% (90% CI: 46.3%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 10.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.1%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 10.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 55.0% (90% CI: 53.4%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 54.0% (90% CI: 46.5%-61.5%) win rate for white (116 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.
In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 54.6% (90% CI: 53.9%-55.3%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.7%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.
In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 47.8%-52.0%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.
The Alekhine Defense: Spielmann Gambit is statistically favors white with a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.