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Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit

81K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.4%Range (90% confident): 52.1% – 52.7%Based on 81K games
0%52.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.1% – 52.7%
Outcome Distribution
50.8%3.0%46.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Bxf7+
Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit
Analyzen=81K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 52.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.1% and 52.7%), based on 81K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.4% · UltraBullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.0% win rate (2,319 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.2% win rate (3,262 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.9% win rate (6,792 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.5% win rate (11,026 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.1% win rate (17,515 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.4% win rate (20,836 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.8% win rate (14,330 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.8% win rate (5,188 games)
  • 2500+: 42.1% win rate (223 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (58%), worst in Rapid (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 57.8% win rate (6,988 games)
  • Bullet: 51.2% win rate (44,365 games)
  • Blitz: 48.7% win rate (26,001 games)
  • Rapid: 48.4% win rate (3,952 games)
  • Classical: 57.6% win rate (185 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (719 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (1,282 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (307 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.1% expected score (194 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (1,145 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (1,508 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (409 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 59.6% expected score (1,479 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (2,294 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (2,437 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (564 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 57.8% expected score (1,808 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (5,257 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (3,329 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (591 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 75.9% expected score (41 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (1,742 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (10,250 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (4,847 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (639 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (37 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (1,565 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (11,837 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (6,655 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (715 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (64 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 76.1% expected score (186 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (8,495 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (5,053 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (579 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 69.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (4,164 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (871 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (148 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (204 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 35.4% expected score (19 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation
48.3%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation
50.9%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation, Everglades Variation
53.3%
Alekhine Defense: Buckley Attack
49.7%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 81K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 53.9% win rate for white (6.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (57.8%) outperforms Rapid (48.4%) by 9.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit?

The Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 51.7%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 52.9%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.7%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 42.1% (90% CI: 36.7%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 223 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 57.8% (90% CI: 56.8%-58.7%) win rate for white (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.6%) win rate for white (44K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.2%) win rate for white (26K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.7%) win rate for white (4.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a 57.6% (90% CI: 51.7%-63.5%) win rate for white (185 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit is statistically favors white with a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.