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Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit

81K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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3.Bxf7+
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

52.4%

45%60%
Floor52.1%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 52.7%.

Measured over 81K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.0 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 81K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
81K
Best context
60.6% at 1800-1999 UltraBullet
Worst context
49.2% at 2000-2199 Blitz
Average game length
32 moves
Games that end decisively
97.0%
Draws
3.0%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.4% · UltraBullet best · Rapid worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 49.7% at 0-999, 41.1% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (719 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (1,282 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (307 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.1% expected score (194 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (1,145 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (1,508 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (409 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 59.6% expected score (1,479 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (2,294 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (2,437 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (564 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 57.8% expected score (1,808 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (5,257 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (3,329 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (591 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 75.9% expected score (41 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (1,742 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (10,250 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (4,847 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (639 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (37 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (1,565 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (11,837 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (6,655 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (715 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (64 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 76.1% expected score (186 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (8,495 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (5,053 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (579 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 69.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (4,164 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (871 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (148 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (204 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 35.4% expected score (19 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation
47.1%
Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation
49.0%
Alekhine Defense: Normal Variation
49.9%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit
47.6%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 52.4% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 52.1% and 52.7% — from 81K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
81K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games before we will say where it stops working. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 52.4% (range, 90% confident: 52.1% – 52.7%) for White, based on 81K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit performs best at 1200-1399, where it scores 54.7% for White (6.8K games). It tends to score less at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, UltraBullet (58.5%) outperforms Rapid (50.6%). Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit?

The Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 51.3% (range, 90% confident: 49.6% – 53.0%) for White, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 54.1% (range, 90% confident: 52.6% – 55.5%) for White, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 54.7% (range, 90% confident: 53.7% – 55.7%) for White, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 53.5% (range, 90% confident: 52.7% – 54.3%) for White, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 52.4% (range, 90% confident: 51.8% – 53.0%) for White, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 52.2% (range, 90% confident: 51.6% – 52.7%) for White, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 51.0% (range, 90% confident: 50.3% – 51.7%) for White, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 51.2% (range, 90% confident: 50.1% – 52.3%) for White, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 45.8% (range, 90% confident: 40.4% – 51.2%) for White, based on 223 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 58.5% (range, 90% confident: 57.5% – 59.5%) for White (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 52.5% (range, 90% confident: 52.1% – 52.9%) for White (44K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 50.8% (range, 90% confident: 50.3% – 51.3%) for White (26K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 50.6% (range, 90% confident: 49.3% – 51.9%) for White (4.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit scores 60.5% (range, 90% confident: 54.6% – 66.3%) for White (185 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation, Krejcik Gambit is good for White with a 50.8% (range, 90% confident: 50.6% – 51.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.