Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit

1.2M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

View As

Playable

White Expected Score50.8%Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 50.9%Based on 1.2M games

0%50.8%100%

Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 50.9%

Outcome Distribution

49.2%3.2%47.6%

Win

Draw

Loss

2.b4

Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit

Analyzen=1.2M

Avg Length33 moves

Sharpness97%

Draw Rate3.2%

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 50.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.7% and 50.9%), based on 1.2M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +5.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 50%

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2500+

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in UltraBullet (43%)

UltraBullet

Bullet

Blitz

Rapid

Classical

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

Rating	UB	Class
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499	—
2500+	—	—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (2,091 games)
0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (2,165 games)
0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (908 games)
0-999 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (15 games)
1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (6,868 games)
1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (7,923 games)
1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (2,319 games)
1000-1199 rating, Classical: 36.8% expected score (25 games)
1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 35.8% expected score (37 games)
1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (16,929 games)
1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (24,053 games)
1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (6,257 games)
1200-1399 rating, Classical: 48.2% expected score (189 games)
1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.3% expected score (52 games)
1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (30,932 games)
1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (59,094 games)
1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (14,530 games)
1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.0% expected score (705 games)
1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 39.3% expected score (31 games)
1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (58,612 games)
1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (130,327 games)
1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (30,879 games)
1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.1% expected score (2,109 games)
1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 39.3% expected score (31 games)
1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (88,526 games)
1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (217,520 games)
1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (42,322 games)
1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.4% expected score (1,686 games)
2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (94,981 games)
2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (172,511 games)
2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (28,649 games)
2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (530 games)
2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (81,555 games)
2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (50,301 games)
2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (5,016 games)
2200-2499 rating, Classical: 65.0% expected score (52 games)
2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (11,141 games)
2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (2,275 games)
2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.6% expected score (90 games)

Related Openings

Parent

Sicilian Defense

48.5%

Variations (5)

Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon

45.7%

Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation

45.8%

Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind

48.8%

Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation

43.7%

Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation

44.6%

Continuations (8)

Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation

49.3%

Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Carlsbad Variation

50.4%

Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation

46.5%

Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Marienbad Variation

47.5%

Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Marshall Variation

48.6%

Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Nanu Gambit

49.8%

Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Romanian Defense

47.3%

Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Santasiere Variation

45.4%

Analyze Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.2M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 50.7% win rate for white (137K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (42.7%) by 7.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.0%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 105K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 222K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 350K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 297K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 137K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 42.7% (90% CI: 36.7%-48.8%) win rate for white (180 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.2%) win rate for white (392K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.1%) win rate for white (666K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.8%) win rate for white (131K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.8%-49.0%) win rate for white (5.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit is statistically balanced with a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit expected score for White?