304 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Romanian Defense has a 49.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.7% and 54.1%), based on 304 Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 60% → 34%
Best in Rapid (70%), worst in Blitz (45%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1600-1799 | — | — | — | ||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | — | ||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Romanian Defense has a 47.3% (90% CI: 42.6%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 304 rated games from Lichess.
The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Romanian Defense performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 46.8% win rate for white (181 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Romanian Defense has a sharpness score of 93.3 (decisive), meaning 93.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Romanian Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 40.8%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 181 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 8.5% draw rate.
In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Romanian Defense has a 47.8% (90% CI: 42.8%-52.9%) win rate for white (265 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.
The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Romanian Defense is slightly favors black with a 47.3% (90% CI: 42.6%-52.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.