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Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense

769K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.0%Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 49.1%Based on 769K games
0%49.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 49.1%
Outcome Distribution
47.2%3.5%49.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...exd4
Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense
Analyzen=769K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 49.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.9% and 49.1%), based on 769K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.9% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~50%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.6% win rate (48,279 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.4% win rate (98,610 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.2% win rate (150,723 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.9% win rate (172,543 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.6% win rate (144,277 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.0% win rate (93,762 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.0% win rate (46,148 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.0% win rate (13,967 games)
  • 2500+: 49.1% win rate (1,075 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (50%), worst in UltraBullet (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 40.7% win rate (821 games)
  • Bullet: 46.5% win rate (244,686 games)
  • Blitz: 47.2% win rate (375,371 games)
  • Rapid: 48.4% win rate (144,047 games)
  • Classical: 50.3% win rate (4,459 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 39.4% expected score (36 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (14,936 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (22,372 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (10,873 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (62 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.5% expected score (132 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (30,744 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (47,359 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (20,096 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.6% expected score (279 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 41.0% expected score (253 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (41,976 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (76,114 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (31,624 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (756 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 36.4% expected score (201 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (47,215 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (88,429 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (35,336 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 55.2% expected score (1,362 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 40.6% expected score (115 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (43,351 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (72,351 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (27,091 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.6% expected score (1,369 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 49.1% expected score (52 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (33,079 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (45,877 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (14,196 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (558 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 75.7% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (21,919 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (20,009 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (4,132 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.2% expected score (70 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 33.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (10,472 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (2,787 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (691 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (994 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (73 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 29.0% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Lolli Variation
53.8%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit
54.2%
Scotch Game: Schmidt Variation
47.9%
Scotch Game: Haxo Gambit
55.7%
Analyze Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense win rate?

The Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 769K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense perform best?

The Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 49.8% win rate for white (173K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (58.5%) outperforms Classical (44.6%) by 13.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense?

The Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 99K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 151K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 173K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 144K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 94K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 46K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 44.7% (90% CI: 42.2%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 58.5% (90% CI: 55.7%-61.4%) win rate for white (821 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.8%.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.1%) win rate for white (245K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.2%) win rate for white (375K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.6%) win rate for white (144K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense has a 44.6% (90% CI: 43.4%-45.8%) win rate for white (4.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Dubois Réti Defense is statistically balanced with a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.