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Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit

1.3M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.6%Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 50.7%Based on 1.3M games
0%50.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 50.7%
Outcome Distribution
48.8%3.7%47.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nxc6
Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit
Analyzen=1.3M
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 50.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.6% and 50.7%), based on 1.3M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +2.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.9% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.3% win rate (42,917 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.4% win rate (87,701 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.3% win rate (144,834 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.1% win rate (200,918 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.4% win rate (266,316 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.5% win rate (271,840 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.2% win rate (176,303 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.8% win rate (103,574 games)
  • 2500+: 43.6% win rate (23,109 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (55%), worst in Classical (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.9% win rate (2,901 games)
  • Bullet: 50.8% win rate (474,771 games)
  • Blitz: 48.0% win rate (662,747 games)
  • Rapid: 46.1% win rate (172,218 games)
  • Classical: 45.1% win rate (4,875 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 63.9% expected score (67 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (13,478 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (21,152 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (8,177 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 26.4% expected score (43 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 71.8% expected score (111 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (24,106 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (48,427 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (14,841 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (216 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 67.7% expected score (227 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (38,847 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (78,777 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (26,468 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 43.8% expected score (515 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 66.9% expected score (360 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (53,917 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (107,603 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (37,671 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (1,367 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 57.6% expected score (617 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (73,970 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (150,771 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (39,619 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.6% expected score (1,339 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.7% expected score (625 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (91,804 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (146,131 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (32,145 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.9% expected score (1,135 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.8% expected score (488 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (82,670 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (81,629 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (11,286 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.2% expected score (230 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 47.7% expected score (276 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (74,658 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (26,684 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (1,927 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (29 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 38.6% expected score (130 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (21,321 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.7% expected score (1,573 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 37.2% expected score (84 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scandinavian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Scandinavian Defense: Mieses-Kotroc Variation
50.2%
Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation
49.0%
Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation
47.8%
Scandinavian Defense: Main Line
47.3%
Scandinavian Defense: Gubinsky-Melts Defense
48.5%
Analyze Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit win rate?

The Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit perform best?

The Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.6% win rate for white (23K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (49.7%) outperforms UltraBullet (41.8%) by 7.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit?

The Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 88K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 145K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 201K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 266K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 272K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.3%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 176K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 104K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 41.8% (90% CI: 40.3%-43.3%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.2%) win rate for white (475K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.2%) win rate for white (663K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.9%) win rate for white (172K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.9%) win rate for white (4.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit a good opening?

The Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit is statistically balanced with a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.