Queen's Gambit Declined

9.7M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

View As

Play This

White Expected Score53.2%Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 53.2%Based on 9.7M games

0%53.2%100%

Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 53.2%

Outcome Distribution

50.9%4.4%44.6%

Win

Draw

Loss

4...Be7

Queen's Gambit Declined

Analyzen=9.7M

Avg Length35 moves

Sharpness96%

Draw Rate4.4%

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined has a 53.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.1% and 53.2%), based on 9.7M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +11.8% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~50%)

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2500+

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (49%)

UltraBullet

Bullet

Blitz

Rapid

Classical

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

Rating	UB	Bulle	Blitz	Rapid	Class
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.4% expected score (286 games)
0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (66,011 games)
0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (107,944 games)
0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (35,346 games)
0-999 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (213 games)
1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (876 games)
1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (184,920 games)
1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (269,716 games)
1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (85,408 games)
1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.0% expected score (1,249 games)
1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.8% expected score (1,994 games)
1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (355,681 games)
1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (551,962 games)
1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (168,239 games)
1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.8% expected score (5,774 games)
1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (5,603 games)
1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (545,561 games)
1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (902,113 games)
1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (276,190 games)
1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (14,285 games)
1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.0% expected score (5,909 games)
1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (685,234 games)
1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (1,162,473 games)
1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (340,641 games)
1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.2% expected score (19,130 games)
1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 58.3% expected score (2,049 games)
1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (652,372 games)
1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (1,094,539 games)
1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (308,852 games)
1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (15,347 games)
2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.6% expected score (683 games)
2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (456,456 games)
2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (595,292 games)
2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (139,904 games)
2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (3,851 games)
2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 55.0% expected score (511 games)
2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (288,756 games)
2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (234,418 games)
2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (31,872 games)
2200-2499 rating, Classical: 60.3% expected score (523 games)
2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 67.4% expected score (36 games)
2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (66,247 games)
2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (25,661 games)
2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.4% expected score (1,392 games)
2500+ rating, Classical: 57.8% expected score (82 games)

Related Openings

Continuations (10)

Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation

52.1%

Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit

49.8%

Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation

46.6%

Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation

52.9%

Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line

48.5%

Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bf5 Line

51.7%

Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line

53.6%

Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Janowski Variation

50.6%

Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Krenosz Variation

43.4%

Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Lasker Trap

32.8%

Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.9%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 9.7M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.9% win rate for white (556K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (52.9%) outperforms Classical (49.0%) by 3.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined?

The Queen's Gambit Declined has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 210K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 542K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.1M Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.7M Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.2M Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.1M Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.2M Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 556K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 93K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 10.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.5%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.8%-51.9%) win rate for white (3.3M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.7%) win rate for white (4.9M Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-49.9%) win rate for white (1.4M Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.3%) win rate for white (60K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined is statistically favors white with a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.9%-50.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined expected score for White?