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Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense

583K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.5%Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 50.6%Based on 583K games
0%50.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 50.6%
Outcome Distribution
47.7%5.6%46.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.cxd5
Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense
Analyzen=583K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.6%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 50.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.4% and 50.6%), based on 583K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.5% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 46% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.3% win rate (3,814 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.2% win rate (15,590 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.6% win rate (40,805 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.2% win rate (78,653 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.8% win rate (123,317 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.1% win rate (139,272 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.1% win rate (99,529 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.6% win rate (65,019 games)
  • 2500+: 41.9% win rate (16,605 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.5% win rate (803 games)
  • Bullet: 48.0% win rate (252,806 games)
  • Blitz: 47.7% win rate (265,257 games)
  • Rapid: 46.8% win rate (60,652 games)
  • Classical: 46.9% win rate (3,086 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (1,692 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (1,768 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (345 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (7,181 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (6,904 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (1,480 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 42.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (17,365 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (19,357 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (3,985 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.7% expected score (74 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.1% expected score (192 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (29,080 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (39,612 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (9,345 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (424 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (267 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (44,365 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (62,318 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (15,372 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.5% expected score (995 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.7% expected score (174 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (55,661 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (65,194 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (17,322 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.2% expected score (921 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (82 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (48,208 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (41,775 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (9,117 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.1% expected score (347 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 56.0% expected score (40 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (38,524 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (23,313 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (3,017 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (125 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (10,730 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (5,016 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (669 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (188 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Continuations (6)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense, Exchange Variation
46.7%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense, Kmoch Variation
42.5%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense, Main Line
52.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense, Pillsbury Variation
49.0%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense, San Sebastian Variation
47.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense, Symmetrical Variation
50.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.6%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 583K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 48.2% win rate for white (79K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.0%) outperforms Classical (46.9%) by 1.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a sharpness score of 94.4 (decisive), meaning 94.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.0%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 79K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 123K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 139K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 100K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 65K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 41.9% (90% CI: 41.3%-42.6%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 50 moves with a 24.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 48.5% (90% CI: 45.6%-51.4%) win rate for white (803 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.2%) win rate for white (253K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.9%) win rate for white (265K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.2%) win rate for white (61K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.4%-48.4%) win rate for white (3.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 13.0%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Semi-Tarrasch Defense is statistically balanced with a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.6%-47.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.