Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense

47K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.6%Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 49.9%Based on 47K games
0%49.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 49.9%
Outcome Distribution
46.3%6.5%47.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...c5
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense
Analyzen=47K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.5%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 49.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.2% and 49.9%), based on 47K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.1% win rate (508 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.3% win rate (1,400 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.2% win rate (2,924 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.8% win rate (5,387 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.8% win rate (8,338 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.8% win rate (9,952 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.2% win rate (9,222 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.0% win rate (7,439 games)
  • 2500+: 46.3% win rate (1,625 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in UltraBullet (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.0% win rate (286 games)
  • Bullet: 47.0% win rate (22,467 games)
  • Blitz: 45.8% win rate (19,776 games)
  • Rapid: 45.1% win rate (4,015 games)
  • Classical: 46.1% win rate (251 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (173 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (265 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (69 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (536 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (657 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (203 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,209 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (1,301 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (385 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (86 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (2,228 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (2,428 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (606 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (39 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 48.8% expected score (120 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (3,747 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (3,599 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (803 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (69 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (41 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (4,727 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (4,183 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (928 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (73 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (4,725 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (3,818 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (627 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (4,035 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (3,034 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (352 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (1,087 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (491 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.5% expected score (42 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 47K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 49.3% win rate for white (1.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (44.0%) by 3.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a sharpness score of 93.5 (decisive), meaning 93.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 44.1% (90% CI: 40.5%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 508 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.7%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 45.8% (90% CI: 44.9%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.0%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 10.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.4%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.0%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 46.3% (90% CI: 44.3%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 11.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 44.0% (90% CI: 39.2%-48.8%) win rate for white (286 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.5%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.2%-46.4%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 45.1% (90% CI: 43.8%-46.4%) win rate for white (4.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense has a 46.1% (90% CI: 41.0%-51.3%) win rate for white (251 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.7%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense is statistically balanced with a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.