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Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation

63K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.6%Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 53.9%Based on 63K games
0%53.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 53.9%
Outcome Distribution
50.1%6.9%43.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Nb6
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation
Analyzen=63K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate6.9%

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation has a 53.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.3% and 53.9%), based on 63K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 56% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.7% win rate (64 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.5% win rate (203 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.2% win rate (532 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.0% win rate (1,274 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.1% win rate (2,937 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.1% win rate (7,660 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.6% win rate (16,641 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.5% win rate (23,994 games)
  • 2500+: 51.6% win rate (9,353 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (55%), worst in Classical (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.7% win rate (67 games)
  • Bullet: 50.9% win rate (26,206 games)
  • Blitz: 49.6% win rate (32,020 games)
  • Rapid: 49.7% win rate (4,136 games)
  • Classical: 47.9% win rate (229 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 58.5% expected score (34 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (64 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (108 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 71.3% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (161 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (284 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (84 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (416 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (638 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (206 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (873 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (1,614 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (403 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (2,084 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (4,640 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (837 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (81 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 62.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (5,038 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (10,202 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (1,324 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 65.0% expected score (62 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 56.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (10,626 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (12,157 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (1,158 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (40 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (6,924 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (2,343 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 65.0% expected score (85 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation
51.0%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Modern Defense
49.3%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense
49.9%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation
49.4%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation
50.0%
Analyze Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation win rate?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 63K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation perform best?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 55.0% win rate for white (1.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.9%) outperforms Classical (47.9%) by 3.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation has a sharpness score of 93.1 (decisive), meaning 93.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation has a 55.5% (90% CI: 49.8%-61.2%) win rate for white, based on 203 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 48.6%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 532 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 52.7%-57.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.6%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.2%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.8% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.4%) win rate for white (26K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.1%) win rate for white (32K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-51.0%) win rate for white (4.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.7%.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 42.5%-53.4%) win rate for white (229 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.6%.

Is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation a good opening?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.