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Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation

26K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.4%Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 52.9%Based on 26K games
0%52.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 52.9%
Outcome Distribution
49.4%6.0%44.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Nc6
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation
Analyzen=26K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.0%

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a 52.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.9% and 52.9%), based on 26K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~48%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.0% win rate (212 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.0% win rate (601 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.5% win rate (1,040 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.6% win rate (1,673 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.3% win rate (2,351 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.8% win rate (3,531 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.3% win rate (5,377 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.0% win rate (7,408 games)
  • 2500+: 46.8% win rate (4,092 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (55%), worst in Blitz (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.7% win rate (36 games)
  • Bullet: 50.3% win rate (12,893 games)
  • Blitz: 48.1% win rate (10,945 games)
  • Rapid: 50.7% win rate (2,277 games)
  • Classical: 52.0% win rate (134 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (59 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (113 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (40 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (181 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (301 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (116 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (345 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (461 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (219 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (457 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (798 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (386 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (26 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (711 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (1,163 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (437 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 63.9% expected score (31 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (1,180 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (1,801 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (494 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (47 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (2,353 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (2,629 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (377 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (4,051 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (3,154 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.1% expected score (198 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (3,556 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (525 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 37.0% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation
51.0%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Modern Defense
49.3%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Original Defense
49.9%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Delayed Exchange Variation
50.1%
Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation
50.0%
Analyze Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation win rate?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 26K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation perform best?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 55.0% win rate for white (601 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.3%) outperforms Classical (52.0%) by -1.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a sharpness score of 94.0 (decisive), meaning 94.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 42.4%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 212 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 51.7%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 601 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 46.9%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.6%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.4%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.5%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.0% draw rate.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.0%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.9%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-52.4%) win rate for white (2.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

What is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 45.0%-59.0%) win rate for white (134 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.7%.

Is the Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation a good opening?

The Neo-Grünfeld Defense: Classical Variation, Polgar Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.