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King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit

1.8M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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2...Nf6
Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

51.9%

45%55%
Floor51.8%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.

Measured over 1.8M games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 4.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 1.8M games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
1.8M
Best context
58.6% at 0-999 Classical
Worst context
48.4% at 1600-1799 Classical
Average game length
28 moves
Games that end decisively
95.9%
Draws
4.1%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +5.3% · Breakpoint: 2500+

How to Beat This (Move 3)

Best: 3...Qe7? · Black wins: 55.4% · 1.6M games

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 53.8% at 0-999, 51.4% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.4% expected score (523 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (71,118 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (401,145 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (355,197 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 58.6% expected score (2,585 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.8% expected score (909 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (51,800 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (215,778 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (192,260 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (7,523 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (810 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (41,413 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (132,369 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (102,146 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 49.6% expected score (8,887 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 53.8% expected score (505 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (29,819 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (68,992 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (44,419 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (5,441 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 59.0% expected score (127 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (16,702 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (30,216 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (15,109 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (1,203 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (10,602 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (9,710 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (2,875 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (99 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (4,674 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (2,002 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (326 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (2,359 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (483 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 37.2% expected score (53 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (360 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (37 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Pawn Game
47.9%
Variations (5)
King's Pawn Game: Leonardis Variation
48.7%
King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack
51.8%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit
50.9%
King's Pawn Game: McConnell Defense
50.0%
King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack
50.5%
Analyze King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit scores 51.9% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 51.8% and 51.9% — from 1.8M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
1.8M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit win rate?

Playing the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit, Black wins 49.8%, draws 4.1% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.9%. It rests on 1.8M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit perform best?

The King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 53.0% (831K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 51.6% in Blitz (861K games) against 52.1% in Rapid (712K games).

How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit?

The King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 50.6%, draws 4.7% and loses 44.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.0%. It rests on 831K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 49.0%, draws 3.9% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 468K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 49.1%, draws 3.5% and loses 47.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 286K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 49.5%, draws 3.3% and loses 47.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 149K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 48.4%, draws 3.5% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.2%. It rests on 63K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 48.1%, draws 3.8% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.0%. It rests on 23K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 47.5%, draws 4.2% and loses 48.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.6%. It rests on 7.0K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 49.8%, draws 4.0% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 2.9K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 44.5%, draws 5.4% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 397 Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 52.2%, draws 1.0% and loses 46.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.7%. It rests on 2.9K Lichess games.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 51.1%, draws 1.9% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 229K Lichess games.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 49.5%, draws 4.1% and loses 46.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 861K Lichess games.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 49.6%, draws 4.9% and loses 45.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 712K Lichess games.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 49.4%, draws 5.0% and loses 45.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.9%. It rests on 26K Lichess games.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit a good opening?

The King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, Kiddie Countergambit is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 49.8% of its games and loses 46.1%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.